Learner Tien v Casper Ruud
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongLOSTL. Tien is 6-4 over the last ten and 21-14 on hard this season. C. Ruud is 6-4 over the last ten and 15-12 on hard this season. C. Ruud took a medical timeout on 2026-10-01.
The pick is L. Tien to win. We make it a 66% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.52 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| L. Tien | C. Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Ranking | 17 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WLLWL | Last 5 | WLWWW |
| +0.5 | V the odds | -0.9 |
| 34-21 | Season | 31-19 |
| 21-14 | Hard 2026 | 15-12 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | MTO |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | L. TienvC. Ruud | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
L. Tien — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | C. Ruud | 0 - 2 | 1.66 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | Z. Svajda | 2 - 0 | 1.37 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | 1.60 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-26 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | F. Cobolli | 1 - 2 | 1.47 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | J. Lehecka | 2 - 0 | 1.91 | 50% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | J. Mensik | 0 - 2 | 2.22 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | US Open | Hard | K. Khachanov | 3 - 2 | 1.57 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-06 | US Open | Hard | J. Mensik | 2 - 3 | 1.72 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open | Hard | G. Monfils | 0 - 3 | 1.22 | 79% | WON |
C. Ruud — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | L. Tien | 0 - 2 | 2.37 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | Y. Bu | 0 - 2 | 2.01 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | L. Darderi | 2 - 0 | 1.46 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | F. Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | 1.85 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | F. Nidunjianzan | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | R. Te | 2 - 0 | 1.01 | 91% | WON |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | C. O'Connell | 1 - 0 RET | 1.32 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-08-08 | Montreal | Hard | J. Fonseca | 0 - 2 | 2.27 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-08-05 | Montreal | Hard | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | 1.39 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-07-17 | Gstaad | Clay | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | 1.33 | 74% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Learner Tien or Casper Ruud?
Learner Tien is favourite at 1.66, which is a 59% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud?
Learner Tien is 1.66 and Casper Ruud is 2.37, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
What is the head-to-head between Learner Tien and Casper Ruud?
They have met 1 time and Casper Ruud leads 1-0.
Who will win Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud?
Our model makes it Learner Tien to win at 1.66 (Strong confidence).