Lautaro Midon v Tomas Barrios Vera
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongL. Midon is 7-3 over the last ten and 30-18 on clay this season. T. Barrios Vera is 6-4 over the last ten and 17-17 on clay this season. The head to head is L. Midon 0-2.
The pick is L. Midon to win. We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.75 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| L. Midon | T. Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| 206 | Ranking | 132 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WLWWL | Last 5 | WLWLL |
| +1.1 | V the odds | -0.5 |
| 38-24 | Season | 30-30 |
| 30-18 | Clay 2026 | 17-17 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 0-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Antofagasta | L. MidonvT. Barrios Vera | 2-6 2-6 |
| 2025-01-24 | Punta Del Este | T. Barrios VeravL. Midon | 6-0 7-6 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
L. Midon — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Costa do Sauipe | Clay | L. Andrade da Silva | 1.45 | 67% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-3 MidonSilvaPoints won56%44%Serve points won75%62%Return points won38%25%Games held11 of 119 of 10Break points saved1 of 13 of 4Aces73Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-10-30 | Guayaquil | Clay | J. Aguilar Cardozo | 1.91 | 51% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 4-6 MidonCardozoPoints won49%51%Serve points won53%55%Return points won45%47%Games held6 of 117 of 11Break points saved5 of 103 of 7Aces20Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-10-29 | Guayaquil | Clay | D. E. Galan | 1.59 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 MidonGalanPoints won54%46%Serve points won69%58%Return points won42%31%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved1 of 25 of 8Aces25Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-26 | Guayaquil | Clay | G. Villanueva | 1.48 | 65% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-3 MidonVillanuevaPoints won57%43%Serve points won69%51%Return points won49%31%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved1 of 211 of 15Aces00Double faults14 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Antofagasta | Clay | T. Seyboth Wild | 3.22 | 70% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 1-6 MidonWildPoints won40%60%Serve points won51%70%Return points won30%49%Games held4 of 88 of 9Break points saved2 of 64 of 5Aces02Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-10-09 | Antofagasta | Clay | E. Ribeiro | 1.47 | 66% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-1 MidonRibeiroPoints won61%39%Serve points won70%46%Return points won54%30%Games held7 of 73 of 8Break points saved3 of 35 of 10Aces61Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-10-08 | Antofagasta | Clay | J. Aguilar Cardozo | 2.04 | 53% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 2-6 7-6 MidonCardozoPoints won50%50%Serve points won53%52%Return points won48%47%Games held8 of 1610 of 16Break points saved2 of 106 of 12Aces31Double faults48 | |||||||
| 2026-10-06 | Antofagasta | Clay | J. Pereira | 1.12 | 85% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 4-6 6-0 MidonPereiraPoints won55%45%Serve points won61%49%Return points won51%39%Games held10 of 136 of 12Break points saved1 of 48 of 14Aces102Double faults44 | |||||||
| 2026-10-02 | Curitiba | Clay | G. Heide | 3.13 | 69% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 4-6 MidonHeidePoints won46%54%Serve points won59%66%Return points won34%41%Games held5 of 98 of 9Break points saved5 of 94 of 5Aces13Double faults25 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | Clay | B. Fernandez | 1.12 | 84% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 7-5 MidonFernandezPoints won56%44%Serve points won69%57%Return points won43%31%Games held9 of 106 of 10Break points saved0 of 12 of 6Aces12Double faults24 | |||||||
T. Barrios Vera — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Costa do Sauipe | Clay | H. Rocha | 2.37 | 59% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 7-6 VeraRochaPoints won52%48%Serve points won66%61%Return points won39%34%Games held10 of 119 of 11Break points saved4 of 53 of 5Aces04Double faults34 | |||||||
| 2026-10-29 | Guayaquil | Clay | J. Aguilar Cardozo | 1.72 | 56% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 3-6 VeraCardozoPoints won41%59%Serve points won45%62%Return points won38%55%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved2 of 74 of 5Aces11Double faults51 | |||||||
| 2026-10-26 | Guayaquil | Clay | J. Estevez | 1.18 | 81% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 7-6 VeraEstevezPoints won53%47%Serve points won65%58%Return points won42%35%Games held8 of 106 of 10Break points saved3 of 54 of 8Aces33Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Cali | Clay | N. Jarry | 1.54 | 62% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 7-6 2-6 VeraJarryPoints won48%52%Serve points won51%57%Return points won43%49%Games held8 of 1511 of 15Break points saved9 of 163 of 7Aces05Double faults85 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Antofagasta | Clay | M. Tobon | 1.20 | 80% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-3 6-7 6-7 VeraTobonPoints won50%50%Serve points won63%59%Return points won41%37%Games held13 of 1612 of 17Break points saved4 of 712 of 17Aces212Double faults43 | |||||||
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | F. Roncadelli | 1.31 | 73% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-2 VeraRoncadelliPoints won56%44%Serve points won68%54%Return points won46%32%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved4 of 56 of 10Aces10Double faults10 | |||||||
| 2026-10-03 | Curitiba | Clay | G. I. Justo | 1.45 | 66% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 4-6 3-6 VeraJustoPoints won49%51%Serve points won53%54%Return points won46%47%Games held8 of 1410 of 15Break points saved10 of 165 of 10Aces11Double faults43 | |||||||
| 2026-10-02 | Curitiba | Clay | M. Pucinelli de Almeida | 1.85 | 52% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 3-6 6-3 VeraAlmeidaPoints won56%44%Serve points won68%58%Return points won42%32%Games held11 of 138 of 12Break points saved8 of 103 of 7Aces21Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | Clay | J. B. Torres | 1.33 | 69% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-3 VeraTorresPoints won56%44%Serve points won63%51%Return points won49%37%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved4 of 56 of 10Aces20Double faults16 | |||||||
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | Clay | L. J. Rodriguez | 1.30 | 72% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-1 VeraRodriguezPoints won65%35%Serve points won80%44%Return points won56%20%Games held7 of 72 of 7Break points saved0 of 07 of 12Aces13Double faults13 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Lautaro Midon or Tomas Barrios Vera?
Lautaro Midon is favourite at 1.93, which is a 50% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios Vera?
Lautaro Midon is 1.93 and Tomas Barrios Vera is 1.93, the prices we recorded for the Costa do Sauipe match.
What is the head-to-head between Lautaro Midon and Tomas Barrios Vera?
They have met 2 times and Tomas Barrios Vera leads 2-0.
Who will win Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios Vera?
Our model makes it Lautaro Midon to win at 1.93 (Strong confidence).