ChallengerClayCosta do Sauipe2026-11-04 19:00

Gonzalo Bueno v Eduardo Ribeiro

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean

G. Bueno to win1.68

Price too short today - wait for 1.77 or bigger · our chance 57% · market 57/43, us 57/43

G. Bueno is 5-5 over the last ten and 32-23 on clay this season. E. Ribeiro is 5-5 over the last ten and 22-23 on clay this season.

The pick is G. Bueno to win. We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.77 or bigger. At 1.68 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

G. Bueno		E. Ribeiro
172	Ranking	346
5-5	Last 10	5-5
WLWLW	Last 5	WLLLW
+0.2	V the odds	+0.6
35-29	Season	23-24
32-23	Clay 2026	22-23
2	Last 7 days	2
1d	Days rest	1d
1	Wins here	1
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

G. BuenoFAV1.6758%

E. Ribeiro2.2742%

Market says58% Bueno

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

G. BuenoWLWLW

E. RibeiroWLLLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

G. Bueno

E. Ribeiro

35-29

32-23

Lost R16 to E. Nava

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on clay

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

23-24

22-23

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Gonzalo Bueno

Peru

Eduardo Ribeiro

Brazil

172

Peru

32–26

3–3

29–20

0–1

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

346

Brazil

22–22

—

22–22

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

G. Bueno — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-03	Costa do Sauipe	Clay	D. E. Galan	RET	2.23	57%	WON
Games in each set4-6 5-5 BuenoGalanPoints won45%55%Serve points won49%58%Return points won42%51%Games held5 of 106 of 10Break points saved5 of 104 of 8Aces23Double faults22
2026-10-29	Guayaquil	Clay	C. M. Zarate		—	—	LOST
Games in each set6-3 5-7 5-7 BuenoZaratePoints won50%50%Serve points won59%60%Return points won40%41%Games held12 of 1613 of 17Break points saved8 of 122 of 6Aces21Double faults45
2026-10-26	Guayaquil	Clay	A. Barrena		2.18	56%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 BuenoBarrenaPoints won55%45%Serve points won63%53%Return points won47%37%Games held8 of 116 of 10Break points saved1 of 41 of 5Aces02Double faults12
2026-10-21	Cali	Clay	S. Rodriguez Taverna		1.48	65%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 4-6 2-6 BuenoTavernaPoints won46%54%Serve points won55%65%Return points won35%45%Games held10 of 1513 of 15Break points saved8 of 133 of 5Aces27Double faults94
2026-10-19	Cali	Clay	H. Casanova		1.56	61%	WON
Games in each set2-6 6-3 6-2 BuenoCasanovaPoints won53%47%Serve points won61%56%Return points won44%39%Games held10 of 138 of 12Break points saved2 of 511 of 15Aces20Double faults60
2026-10-13	Santa Cruz 2	Clay	M. Zeitune		1.59	60%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 3-6 BuenoZeitunePoints won39%61%Serve points won49%73%Return points won27%51%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved5 of 93 of 3Aces12Double faults51
2026-09-08	Seville	Clay	C. Sanchez Jover		1.71	57%	WON
Games in each set0-6 6-4 6-4 BuenoJoverPoints won50%50%Serve points won56%58%Return points won42%44%Games held9 of 1310 of 13Break points saved9 of 1312 of 15Aces22Double faults42
2026-09-02	Como	Clay	M. Schoenhaus		1.99	52%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 3-6 BuenoSchoenhausPoints won42%58%Serve points won48%62%Return points won38%52%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved1 of 63 of 4Aces02Double faults15
2026-08-31	Como	Clay	J. Reis Da Silva		1.60	60%	WON
Games in each set6-2 7-5 BuenoSilvaPoints won54%46%Serve points won65%55%Return points won45%35%Games held9 of 106 of 10Break points saved2 of 312 of 16Aces12Double faults10
2026-08-24	US Open	Hard	B. Harris		2.42	60%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 3-6 BuenoHarrisPoints won40%60%Serve points won46%66%Return points won34%54%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved4 of 92 of 3Aces11Double faults33

E. Ribeiro — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-03	Costa do Sauipe	Clay	L. A. Miguel	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-1 RibeiroMiguelPoints won56%44%Serve points won58%47%Return points won53%42%Games held6 of 82 of 8Break points saved2 of 47 of 13Aces21Double faults12
2026-11-02	Costa do Sauipe	Clay	L. F. Miguel	—	—	LOST
Games in each set7-6 4-6 3-6 RibeiroMiguelPoints won48%52%Serve points won52%57%Return points won43%48%Games held8 of 1610 of 15Break points saved4 of 126 of 11Aces20Double faults43
2026-10-12	Santa Cruz 2	Clay	J. C. Prado Angelo	3.63	74%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 RibeiroAngeloPoints won47%53%Serve points won56%62%Return points won38%44%Games held6 of 108 of 10Break points saved3 of 74 of 6Aces01Double faults11
2026-10-09	Antofagasta	Clay	L. Midon	2.82	66%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 1-6 RibeiroMidonPoints won39%61%Serve points won46%70%Return points won30%54%Games held3 of 87 of 7Break points saved5 of 103 of 3Aces16Double faults30
2026-10-08	Antofagasta	Clay	G. Heide	5.03	81%	WON
Games in each set3-6 6-3 6-4 RibeiroHeidePoints won49%51%Serve points won65%70%Return points won30%35%Games held13 of 1412 of 14Break points saved6 of 73 of 5Aces65Double faults43
2026-10-05	Antofagasta	Clay	S. Heredia	1.28	75%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 RibeiroHerediaPoints won56%44%Serve points won65%54%Return points won46%35%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved5 of 65 of 8Aces44Double faults54
2026-09-29	Curitiba	Clay	P. Sakamoto	1.51	64%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 4-6 RibeiroSakamotoPoints won44%56%Serve points won61%76%Return points won24%39%Games held7 of 910 of 10Break points saved10 of 120 of 0Aces02Double faults31
2026-09-25	Buenos Aires 3	Clay	P. Boscardin Dias	2.00	53%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 RibeiroDiasPoints won48%52%Serve points won60%61%Return points won39%40%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved3 of 610 of 11Aces24Double faults01
2026-09-24	Buenos Aires 3	Clay	F. Coria	1.71	56%	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-5 RibeiroCoriaPoints won53%47%Serve points won73%64%Return points won36%27%Games held11 of 119 of 11Break points saved2 of 25 of 7Aces43Double faults13
2026-09-21	Buenos Aires 3	Clay	P. Martinez	4.33	79%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 RibeiroMartinezPoints won54%46%Serve points won61%52%Return points won48%39%Games held7 of 106 of 11Break points saved1 of 44 of 9Aces30Double faults43

Common questions

Who is favourite, Gonzalo Bueno or Eduardo Ribeiro?

Gonzalo Bueno is favourite at 1.67, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro?

Gonzalo Bueno is 1.67 and Eduardo Ribeiro is 2.27, the prices we recorded for the Costa do Sauipe match.

Who will win Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro?

Our model makes it Gonzalo Bueno to win at 1.68 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event

Heide v Angelo Midon v Vera Silva v Moller Marcondes v Carabelli