Jose Pereira v Mateus Alves
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONM. Alves is 9-1 over the last ten and 24-8 on clay this season. J. Pereira is 7-3 over the last ten and 10-10 on clay this season. J. Pereira has played 5 matches in seven days. M. Alves has played 5 matches in seven days.
The pick is M. Alves to win. We make it a 87% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.15 or bigger. At 1.08 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| J. Pereira | M. Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| 710 | Ranking | 548 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 9-1 |
| WWLWW | Last 5 | WWWWW |
| +1.9 | V the odds | +1.1 |
| 12-11 | Season | 33-14 |
| 10-10 | Clay 2026 | 24-8 |
| 5 | Last 7 days | 5 |
| 1d | Days rest | 2d |
| 2 | Wins here | 0 |
| Defending semi | Fitness | Defending title |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | J. PereiravM. Alves | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
J. Pereira — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | Clay | M. Alves | 1 - 2 | 6.50 | 86% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Curitiba | Clay | R. Dickerson | 1 - 2 | 1.96 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Curitiba | Clay | R. Tosetto | 1 - 2 | 1.75 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | M15 Curitiba (Brazil) | — | W. Leite | 2 - 0 | 2.02 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-09-24 | M15 Curitiba (Brazil) | — | J. Roberts | 1 - 2 | 1.53 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | M15 Curitiba (Brazil) | — | F. De Dios | 1 - 2 | 1.25 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-08-05 | M25 Londrina | Clay | S. Price | 2 - 1 | 1.37 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | M25 Londrina | Clay | M. Alves | 0 - 0 RET | 5.85 | 84% | WON |
| 2026-07-24 | M25 Sao Paulo | Clay | L. J. Rodriguez | 2 - 0 | 4.23 | 77% | LOST |
| 2026-07-23 | M25 Sao Paulo | Clay | M. A. Dellien Velasco | 2 - 0 | 4.28 | 78% | WON |
M. Alves — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | Clay | J. Pereira | 1 - 2 | 1.08 | 86% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | M15 Curitiba (Brazil) | — | P. Sakamoto | 2 - 0 | 1.33 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | M15 Curitiba (Brazil) | — | W. Leite | 2 - 0 | 1.06 | 86% | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | M15 Curitiba (Brazil) | — | V. C. Loureiro J. | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | M15 Curitiba (Brazil) | — | P. H. Chabalgoity | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | M15 Curitiba (Brazil) | — | M. Mouilleron Salvo | 2 - 0 | 1.02 | 93% | WON |
| 2026-09-13 | M15 Leme (Brazil) | Clay | P. Sakamoto | 2 - 0 | 1.39 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-12 | M15 Leme (Brazil) | Clay | R. Tosetto | 2 - 0 | 1.11 | 87% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | M15 Leme (Brazil) | Clay | V. Braga | 2 - 0 | 1.01 | 93% | WON |
| 2026-09-06 | M15 Porto Velho (Brazil) | Hard | V. H. Remondy Pagotto | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Jose Pereira or Mateus Alves?
Mateus Alves is favourite at 1.08, which is a 86% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Jose Pereira vs Mateus Alves?
Jose Pereira is 6.50 and Mateus Alves is 1.08, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.
What is the head-to-head between Jose Pereira and Mateus Alves?
They have met 1 time and Mateus Alves leads 1-0.
Who will win Jose Pereira vs Mateus Alves?
Our model makes it Mateus Alves to win at 1.08 (Lean confidence).