THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 05 OCTOBERMATCHES 159EVENTS 13ALERTS 78
ChallengerClayAntofagasta2026-10-04 15:00

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo v Santiago De La Fuente

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
J. Aguilar Cardozo to win1.03
Price too short today - wait for 1.07 or bigger · our chance 94% · market 92/8, us 94/6

J. Aguilar Cardozo is 9-1 over the last ten and 38-10 on clay this season. S. De La Fuente is 5-5 over the last ten and 22-20 on clay this season. The head to head is J. Aguilar Cardozo 2-0.

The pick is J. Aguilar Cardozo to win. We make it a 94% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.07 or bigger. At 1.03 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. Aguilar CardozoS. De La Fuente
-Ranking620
9-1Last 105-5
LWWWWLast 5LWLLW
+0.5V the odds-0.3
41-12Season22-20
38-10Clay 202622-20
0Last 7 days2
8dDays rest6d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
2-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. Aguilar CardozoFAV1.0392%
S. De La Fuente12.008%
Market says92% Cardozo

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

J. Aguilar Cardozo3
S. De La Fuente0
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-04AntofagastaJ. Aguilar CardozovS. De La Fuente2 - 1
2025-10-25M15 Santiago 6J. Aguilar CardozovS. De La Fuente2 - 0
2025-04-21San Miguel de TucumanJ. Aguilar CardozovS. De La Fuente2 - 0

This season & this event

J. Aguilar Cardozo
S. De La Fuente
43-12
40-10
Lost R32 to F. A. Gomez
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
22-21
22-21
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Uruguay
Santiago De La Fuente
Argentina
599
21
Uruguay
35–22
1
—
35–21
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
620
24
Argentina
12–11
0
—
12–11
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Aguilar Cardozo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayL. J. Rodriguez2 - 11.1582%WON
2026-10-04AntofagastaClayS. De La Fuente2 - 11.0392%WON
2026-09-26Buenos Aires 3ClayA. Barrena0 - 21.5164%LOST
2026-09-25Buenos Aires 3ClayJ. P. Varillas2 - 01.6459%WON
2026-09-23Buenos Aires 3ClayF. Comesana1 - 23.2569%WON
2026-09-22Buenos Aires 3ClayC. M. Zarate0 - 2——WON
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayF. Aguilar Cardozo2 - 0——WON
2026-09-20Buenos Aires 3ClayM. Del Pino2 - 0——WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryM. Molder2 - 0——WON
2026-08-30M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina)ClayC. M. Zarate2 - 0——WON

S. De La Fuente — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04AntofagastaClayJ. Aguilar Cardozo2 - 112.0092%LOST
2026-09-28CuritibaClayP. Sakamoto2 - 12.9268%LOST
2026-09-27CuritibaClayB. Arias0 - 2——WON
2026-09-20Buenos Aires 3ClayM. F. Descotte2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-28M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina)ClayG. Villanueva2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-27M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina)ClayT. J. Leston0 - 2——WON
2026-08-25M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina)ClayT. Grandinetti0 - 2——WON
2026-08-20M15 Asuncion 2 (Paraguay)ClayM. Exsted2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-19M15 Asuncion 2 (Paraguay)ClayM. Del Pino0 - 2——WON
2026-08-18M15 Asuncion 2 (Paraguay)ClayC. Craig0 - 2——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo or Santiago De La Fuente?

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is favourite at 1.03, which is a 92% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Santiago De La Fuente?

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is 1.03 and Santiago De La Fuente is 12.00, the prices we recorded for the Antofagasta match.

What is the head-to-head between Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo and Santiago De La Fuente?

They have met 3 times and Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo leads 3-0.

Who will win Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Santiago De La Fuente?

Our model makes it Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo to win at 1.03 (Lean confidence).

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