THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 05 OCTOBERMATCHES 159EVENTS 13ALERTS 78
ChallengerClayAntofagasta2026-10-04 15:00

Franco Ribero v Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
L. J. Rodriguez to win1.17
Price too short today - wait for 1.26 or bigger · our chance 80% · market 21/79, us 20/80

L. J. Rodriguez is 5-5 over the last ten and 25-18 on clay this season. F. Ribero is 4-6 over the last ten and 19-20 on clay this season. The head to head is F. Ribero 0-1.

The pick is L. J. Rodriguez to win. We make it a 80% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.26 or bigger. At 1.17 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

F. RiberoL. J. Rodriguez
890Ranking-
4-6Last 105-5
LWLLLLast 5LWWLW
-V the odds-0.0
22-24Season27-21
19-20Clay 202625-18
0Last 7 days3
34dDays rest5d
0Wins here0
34d outFitnessClear
Head to head
0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

F. Ribero4.5021%
L. J. RodriguezFAV1.1779%
Market says79% Rodriguez

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

F. Ribero0
L. J. Rodriguez2
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-04AntofagastaF. RiberovL. J. Rodriguez0 - 2
2025-11-12M15 AzulL. J. RodriguezvF. Ribero2 - 0

This season & this event

F. Ribero
L. J. Rodriguez
22-25
19-21
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
28-22
26-19
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Franco Ribero
Argentina
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Argentina
890
27
Argentina
11–12
0
2–3
9–9
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
449
27
Argentina
52–28
3
0–1
52–27
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

F. Ribero — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04AntofagastaClayL. J. Rodriguez0 - 24.5079%LOST
2026-08-31Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayO. Ovcharenko2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-30Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayD. Spasov0 - 2——WON
2026-08-26M25 PoznanClayD. Michalski2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-16Sion (Switzerland)ClayG. Campana Lee2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-09TodiClayN. Mashtakov0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-04Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria)ClayR. M. Papoe1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-03Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria)ClayD. N. Cazacu2 - 0——WON
2026-08-02Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria)ClayW. Rejchtman Vinciguerra2 - 1——WON
2026-07-06Liege (Belgium) - QualificationClayL. Raquillet2 - 1——LOST

L. J. Rodriguez — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayJ. Aguilar Cardozo2 - 15.3682%LOST
2026-10-04AntofagastaClayF. Ribero0 - 21.1779%WON
2026-09-29CuritibaClayT. Barrios Vera0 - 23.4072%LOST
2026-09-28CuritibaClayW. Leite2 - 01.2077%WON
2026-09-27CuritibaClayB. Milani2 - 0——WON
2026-09-22Buenos Aires 3ClayJ. C. Prado Angelo2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayB. Malla1 - 0 RET——WON
2026-09-20Buenos Aires 3ClayT. Meneo2 - 0——WON
2026-08-04M25 LondrinaClayF. Meligeni Alves0 - 2——LOST
2026-07-29M15 Sao PauloClayE. Kohlmann0 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Franco Ribero or Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez?

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez is favourite at 1.17, which is a 79% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Franco Ribero vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez?

Franco Ribero is 4.50 and Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez is 1.17, the prices we recorded for the Antofagasta match.

What is the head-to-head between Franco Ribero and Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez?

They have met 2 times and Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez leads 2-0.

Who will win Franco Ribero vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez?

Our model makes it Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez to win at 1.17 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event