Hernan Casanova v Wilson Leite
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONH. Casanova is 4-6 over the last ten and 17-15 on clay this season. W. Leite is 4-6 over the last ten and 18-18 on clay this season. The head to head is H. Casanova 4-0.
The pick is H. Casanova to win. We make it a 85% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.18 or bigger. At 1.12 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| H. Casanova | W. Leite | |
|---|---|---|
| 420 | Ranking | 848 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| LLLLL | Last 5 | LLWLW |
| -0.2 | V the odds | +0.3 |
| 19-16 | Season | 23-20 |
| 17-15 | Clay 2026 | 18-18 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 6d | Days rest | 5d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 4-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Antofagasta | H. CasanovavW. Leite | 2 - 1 |
| 2025-10-30 | M25 Lajeado | H. CasanovavW. Leite | 2 - 1 |
| 2025-04-27 | Porto Alegre | H. CasanovavW. Leite | 2 - 0 |
| 2022-08-20 | M25 Koksijde | H. CasanovavW. Leite | 2 - 0 |
| 2021-04-26 | Salinas 2 | H. CasanovavW. Leite | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
H. Casanova — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | B. Munk Mesa | 1 - 2 | 1.46 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-10-04 | Antofagasta | Clay | W. Leite | 2 - 1 | 1.12 | 84% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Curitiba | Clay | G. Heide | 2 - 0 | 5.36 | 82% | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | M. A. Dellien Velasco | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-11 | M25 Muttenz | Clay | F. Thomas | 1 - 0 RET | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria) | Clay | Y. T. Alexandrescou | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-24 | M25 Denia | Clay | C. Lopez Montagud | 0 - 1 RET | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-23 | M25 Denia | Clay | L. Hede | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-07-22 | M25 Denia | Clay | J. Garcia Mestre | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-07-10 | Bogota | Hard | N. Mejia | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
W. Leite — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Antofagasta | Clay | H. Casanova | 2 - 1 | 5.96 | 84% | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | Clay | B. Fernandez | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Curitiba | Clay | L. J. Rodriguez | 2 - 0 | 3.96 | 77% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Curitiba | Clay | J. Roberts | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | M15 Curitiba (Brazil) | Clay | M. Alves | 2 - 0 | 7.66 | 88% | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | M15 Curitiba (Brazil) | Clay | J. Pereira | 2 - 0 | 1.81 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | M15 Curitiba (Brazil) | Clay | V. H. Remondy Pagotto | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | M15 Curitiba (Brazil) | Clay | G. Roveri Sidney | 2 - 0 | 1.24 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-08-11 | M15 Asuncion | Clay | M. A. Vergara del Puerto | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | M25 Londrina | Clay | P. A. Saraiva Dos Santos | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Hernan Casanova or Wilson Leite?
Hernan Casanova is favourite at 1.12, which is a 84% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Hernan Casanova vs Wilson Leite?
Hernan Casanova is 1.12 and Wilson Leite is 5.96, the prices we recorded for the Antofagasta match.
What is the head-to-head between Hernan Casanova and Wilson Leite?
They have met 5 times and Hernan Casanova leads 5-0.
Who will win Hernan Casanova vs Wilson Leite?
Our model makes it Hernan Casanova to win at 1.12 (Lean confidence).