THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 06 OCTOBERMATCHES 211EVENTS 34LIVE 5ALERTS 88
ChallengerClayAntofagasta2026-10-05 15:00

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo v Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
J. Aguilar Cardozo to win1.15
Price too short today - wait for 1.21 or bigger · our chance 83% · market 82/18, us 83/17

J. Aguilar Cardozo is 9-1 over the last ten and 39-10 on clay this season. L. J. Rodriguez is 5-5 over the last ten and 26-18 on clay this season. The head to head is J. Aguilar Cardozo 2-2.

The pick is J. Aguilar Cardozo to win. We make it a 83% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.21 or bigger. At 1.15 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. Aguilar CardozoL. J. Rodriguez
-Ranking-
9-1Last 105-5
WLWWWLast 5WLWWL
+0.6V the odds+0.2
42-12Season28-21
39-10Clay 202626-18
1Last 7 days3
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
2-2

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. Aguilar CardozoFAV1.1582%
L. J. Rodriguez5.3618%
Market says82% Cardozo

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

J. Aguilar Cardozo3
L. J. Rodriguez2
Head to head5 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-05AntofagastaJ. Aguilar CardozovL. J. Rodriguez2 - 1
2026-07-19M15 Villa Constitucion (Argentina)L. J. RodriguezvJ. Aguilar Cardozo0 - 2
2026-02-16TigreL. J. RodriguezvJ. Aguilar Cardozo0 - 2
2025-08-03M15 Santiago 4J. Aguilar CardozovL. J. Rodriguez1 - 2
2025-07-03M15 San Salvador de JujuyJ. Aguilar CardozovL. J. Rodriguez1 - 2

This season & this event

J. Aguilar Cardozo
L. J. Rodriguez
44-12
41-10
Lost R32 to F. A. Gomez
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
28-22
26-19
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Uruguay
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Argentina
342
21
Uruguay
42–12
4
—
41–11
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
538
27
Argentina
28–21
0
—
28–21
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Aguilar Cardozo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06AntofagastaClayN. Villalon2 - 01.0690%WON
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayL. J. Rodriguez2 - 11.1582%WON
2026-10-04AntofagastaClayS. De La Fuente2 - 11.0392%WON
2026-09-26Buenos Aires 3ClayA. Barrena0 - 21.5164%LOST
2026-09-25Buenos Aires 3ClayJ. P. Varillas2 - 01.6459%WON
2026-09-23Buenos Aires 3ClayF. Comesana1 - 23.2569%WON
2026-09-22Buenos Aires 3ClayC. M. Zarate0 - 2——WON
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayF. Aguilar Cardozo2 - 0——WON
2026-09-20Buenos Aires 3ClayM. Del Pino2 - 0——WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryM. Molder2 - 0——WON

L. J. Rodriguez — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayJ. Aguilar Cardozo2 - 15.3682%LOST
2026-10-04AntofagastaClayF. Ribero0 - 21.1779%WON
2026-09-29CuritibaClayT. Barrios Vera0 - 23.4072%LOST
2026-09-28CuritibaClayW. Leite2 - 01.2077%WON
2026-09-27CuritibaClayB. Milani2 - 0——WON
2026-09-22Buenos Aires 3ClayJ. C. Prado Angelo2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayB. Malla1 - 0 RET——WON
2026-09-20Buenos Aires 3ClayT. Meneo2 - 0——WON
2026-08-04M25 LondrinaClayF. Meligeni Alves0 - 2——LOST
2026-07-29M15 Sao PauloClayE. Kohlmann0 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo or Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez?

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is favourite at 1.15, which is a 82% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez?

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is 1.15 and Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez is 5.36, the prices we recorded for the Antofagasta match.

What is the head-to-head between Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo and Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez?

They have met 5 times and Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo leads 3-2.

Who will win Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez?

Our model makes it Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo to win at 1.15 (Lean confidence).

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