THE TENNIS TRADER
SATURDAY 03 OCTOBERMATCHES 81EVENTS 33ALERTS 41
WTAHardBeijing · 1/32-finals2026-10-02 05:00

Jelena Ostapenko v Paula Badosa

The market

J. Ostapenko2.3041%
P. BadosaFAV1.6259%
Market says59% Badosa

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

J. Ostapenko3
P. Badosa1
Head to head4 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-03BeijingJ. OstapenkovP. Badosa2 - 0
2024-08-08TorontoP. BadosavJ. Ostapenko1 - 2
2023-05-17WTA RomeP. BadosavJ. Ostapenko1 - 2
2022-01-10SydneyP. BadosavJ. Ostapenko2 - 0

This season & this event

J. Ostapenko
P. Badosa
23-19
13-14
Lost R64 to P. Hon
Reached R64
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
27-20
11-13
Lost R32 to K. Muchova
Lost SF to C. Gauff

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Jelena Ostapenko
Latvia
Paula Badosa
Spain
32
29
Latvia
21–18
0
9–11
7–5
5–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
70
28
Spain
23–18
1
8–9
13–6
2–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Ostapenko — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-02BeijingHardP. Badosa2 - 02.3059%WON
2026-09-24SeoulHardT. Preston0 - 21.3771%LOST
2026-09-21SeoulHardA. Zakharova2 - 0——WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardT. Maria2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-15CincinnatiHardM. Frech0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-04TorontoHardS. Zhang1 - 0 RET——LOST
2026-07-03WimbledonGrassA. Sabalenka2 - 0——LOST
2026-07-01WimbledonGrassA. Ruzic2 - 0——WON
2026-06-29WimbledonGrassH. Dart2 - 1——WON
2026-06-26EastbourneGrassT. Maria1 - 0 RET——LOST

P. Badosa — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-02BeijingHardJ. Ostapenko2 - 01.6259%LOST
2026-09-30BeijingHardD. Kasatkina2 - 11.4368%WON
2026-09-19Sao PauloClayN. Podoroska2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-18Sao PauloClayM. Stoiana0 - 2——WON
2026-09-17Sao PauloClayJ. Ortenzi1 - 2——WON
2026-09-14Sao PauloClayJ. Mikulskyte0 - 2——WON
2026-09-03US OpenHardC. Gauff0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-01US OpenHardD. Kasatkina0 - 2——WON
2026-07-24HamburgClayM. Sherif2 - 1——LOST
2026-07-23HamburgClayP. Udvardy2 - 0——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Jelena Ostapenko or Paula Badosa?

Paula Badosa is favourite at 1.62, which is a 59% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa?

Jelena Ostapenko is 2.30 and Paula Badosa is 1.62, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.

What is the head-to-head between Jelena Ostapenko and Paula Badosa?

They have met 4 times and Jelena Ostapenko leads 3-1.

Also at this event