Alexander Zverev v Juncheng Shang
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONA. Zverev is 9-1 over the last ten and 31-9 on hard this season. J. Shang is 3-7 over the last ten and 6-9 on hard this season.
The pick is A. Zverev to win. We make it a 89% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.12 or bigger. At 1.05 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Zverev | J. Shang | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ranking | 227 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 | 3-7 |
| WWLWW | Last 5 | WLLLL |
| -0.6 | V the odds | -0.3 |
| 57-14 | Season | 6-9 |
| 31-9 | Hard 2026 | 6-9 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Zverev — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Beijing | Hard | J. Shang | 2 - 0 | 1.05 | 90% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | C. Norrie | 2 - 0 | 1.12 | 86% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | L. Tien | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | A. De Minaur | 1 - 2 | 1.30 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-09-20 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | D. Prizmic | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | M. Dodig | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-13 | US Open | Hard | B. Shelton | 3 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-11 | US Open | Hard | K. Khachanov | 3 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | US Open | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 3 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | US Open | Hard | L. Darderi | 3 - 0 | — | — | WON |
J. Shang — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Beijing | Hard | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 | 10.00 | 90% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | S. Baez | 2 - 1 | 1.67 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Mannarino | 0 - 2 | 1.39 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | M. Trungelliti | 2 - 3 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | Hard | L. Sonego | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-06 | Montreal | Hard | L. Darderi | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Montreal | Hard | A. Rublev | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-02 | Montreal | Hard | D. Vallejo | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-07-27 | Washington | Hard | K. Nishikori | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-02-24 | Dubai | Hard | D. Medvedev | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Alexander Zverev or Juncheng Shang?
Alexander Zverev is favourite at 1.05, which is a 90% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang?
Alexander Zverev is 1.05 and Juncheng Shang is 10.00, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.
Who will win Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang?
Our model makes it Alexander Zverev to win at 1.05 (Lean confidence).