THE TENNIS TRADER
SATURDAY 03 OCTOBERMATCHES 81EVENTS 33ALERTS 41
ATPHardBeijing2026-10-02 04:00

Bu Yunchaokete v Novak Djokovic

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
Y. Bu to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 1.71 or bigger · our chance 59% · market 25/75, us 29/71

Y. Bu is 6-4 over the last ten and 23-13 on hard this season. N. Djokovic is 7-3 over the last ten and 8-4 on hard this season.

The pick is Y. Bu to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 59% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.71 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

Y. BuN. Djokovic
124Ranking-
6-4Last 107-3
WLWWWLast 5WLLLW
+1.0V the odds-0.0
34-17Season16-7
23-13Hard 20268-4
3Last 7 days1
2dDays rest2d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

Y. Bu3.8225%
N. DjokovicFAV1.3075%
Market says75% Djokovic

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

Y. Bu0
N. Djokovic1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-02BeijingY. BuvN. Djokovic1 - 2

This season & this event

Y. Bu
N. Djokovic
34-19
23-15
Lost R32 to A. De Minaur
Lost SF to J. Sinner
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
17-7
9-4
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Yunchaokete Bu
China
Novak Djokovic
Serbia
124
24
China
30–17
2
19–13
0–1
11–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
4
39
Serbia
39–11
2
25–7
9–3
5–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

Y. Bu — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-02BeijingHardN. Djokovic1 - 23.8275%LOST
2026-09-30BeijingHardJ. M. Cerundolo1 - 21.5759%WON
2026-09-27HangzhouHardR. Safiullin2 - 01.9050%LOST
2026-09-26HangzhouHardK. Majchrzak2 - 12.0954%WON
2026-09-23HangzhouHardM. Zheng2 - 02.3759%WON
2026-09-03US OpenHardM. Zheng1 - 3——LOST
2026-09-02US OpenHardR. Jodar0 - 3——WON
2026-08-27US OpenHardF. Cina1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardB. Gojo2 - 0——WON
2026-08-25US OpenHardR. Noguchi2 - 1——WON

N. Djokovic — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-02BeijingHardY. Bu1 - 21.3075%WON
2026-09-30BeijingHardN. Borges0 - 21.4068%WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardM. Navone3 - 2——LOST
2026-08-15CincinnatiHardT. A. Tirante1 - 2——LOST
2026-07-10WimbledonGrassJ. Sinner3 - 0——LOST
2026-07-07WimbledonGrassF. Auger-Aliassime2 - 3——WON
2026-07-05WimbledonGrassR. Safiullin1 - 3——WON
2026-07-03WimbledonGrassA. Rinderknech1 - 3——WON
2026-07-01WimbledonGrassS. Tsitsipas0 - 3——WON
2026-06-29WimbledonGrassY. Wu1 - 3——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Bu Yunchaokete or Novak Djokovic?

Novak Djokovic is favourite at 1.30, which is a 75% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Bu Yunchaokete vs Novak Djokovic?

Bu Yunchaokete is 3.82 and Novak Djokovic is 1.30, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.

What is the head-to-head between Bu Yunchaokete and Novak Djokovic?

They have met 1 time and Novak Djokovic leads 1-0.

Who will win Bu Yunchaokete vs Novak Djokovic?

Our model makes it Bu Yunchaokete to win a set (Lean confidence).

Also at this event