THE TENNIS TRADER
SATURDAY 03 OCTOBERMATCHES 81EVENTS 33ALERTS 41
WTAHardBeijing2026-10-02 05:00

Maria Timofeeva v Naomi Osaka

The market

M. Timofeeva4.2623%
N. OsakaFAV1.2677%
Market says77% Osaka

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Timofeeva0
N. Osaka1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-02BeijingM. TimofeevavN. Osaka1 - 2

This season & this event

M. Timofeeva
N. Osaka
38-18
11-12
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
29-11
16-7
Lost R64 to A. Sasnovich
Lost R16 to C. Gauff

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Maria Timofeeva
Uzbekistan
Naomi Osaka
Japan
68
22
Uzbekistan
37–17
4
15–10
18–5
4–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
16
28
Japan
1–1
0
1–1
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Timofeeva — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-02BeijingHardN. Osaka1 - 24.2677%LOST
2026-09-30BeijingHardD. Vidmanova0 - 21.7655%WON
2026-09-27PortoClayR. Brantmeier2 - 01.5859%WON
2026-09-26PortoClayM. Pohankova2 - 11.6858%WON
2026-09-25PortoClayG. Knutson2 - 01.3869%WON
2026-09-23PortoClayK. Rinaldo Persson2 - 01.1980%WON
2026-09-22PortoClayS. Johnson2 - 0——WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardE. Mertens0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-31US OpenHardT. Zidansek0 - 2——WON
2026-08-25MonterreyHardS. Zhang0 - 2——WON

N. Osaka — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-02BeijingHardM. Timofeeva1 - 21.2677%WON
2026-09-07US OpenHardE. Rybakina0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-04US OpenHardE. Mertens2 - 1——WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardK. Siniakova2 - 1——WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardA. Zakharova2 - 0——WON
2026-08-12TorontoHardE. Rybakina1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-10TorontoHardL. Fernandez0 - 2——WON
2026-08-08TorontoHardE. Mertens0 - 2——WON
2026-08-05TorontoHardP. Udvardy0 - 2——WON
2026-08-01WashingtonHardA. Eala0 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Maria Timofeeva or Naomi Osaka?

Naomi Osaka is favourite at 1.26, which is a 77% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka?

Maria Timofeeva is 4.26 and Naomi Osaka is 1.26, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.

What is the head-to-head between Maria Timofeeva and Naomi Osaka?

They have met 1 time and Naomi Osaka leads 1-0.

Also at this event