THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 05 OCTOBERMATCHES 159EVENTS 13ALERTS 78
ChallengerClayBraga2026-10-04 14:00

Hugo Maia v Cosano Javier Barranco

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
H. Maia to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 2.80 or bigger · our chance 36% · market 8/92, us 10/90

H. Maia is 2-7 over the last ten. J. Barranco Cosano is 5-5 over the last ten and 14-9 on clay this season. J. Barranco Cosano took a medical timeout on 2026-09-21. J. Barranco Cosano retired from a match in the last month.

The pick is H. Maia to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 36% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.80 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

H. MaiaJ. Barranco Cosano
-Ranking-
2-7Last 105-5
LLLWLLast 5LWLWL
-V the odds-0.6
2-7Season20-13
0-0Clay 202614-9
0Last 7 days2
152dDays rest3d
0Wins here0
152d outFitnessMTOretired
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

H. Maia12.008%
J. Barranco CosanoFAV1.0292%
Market says92% Cosano

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

H. Maia0
J. Barranco Cosano1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-04BragaH. MaiavJ. Barranco Cosano0 - 2

This season & this event

H. Maia
J. Barranco Cosano
2-8
0-1
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
22-13
16-9
Lost QF to Z. Kolar
Lost R16 to C. Tabur

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Hugo Maia
Portugal
Javier Barranco Cosano
Spain
1412
25
Portugal
3–8
0
3–5
0–3
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
358
27
Spain
31–25
2
5–6
26–19
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

H. Maia — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04BragaClayJ. Barranco Cosano0 - 212.0092%LOST
2026-05-05M25 LouleHardJ. D. Silva1 - 2——LOST
2026-04-29M25 Quinta Do LagoHardA. Reco0 - 2——LOST
2026-04-23M15 SanxenxoHardD. Marques2 - 0——LOST
2026-04-22M15 SanxenxoHardG. Dalmasso2 - 1——WON
2026-03-03M25 FaroHardT. Curras Abasolo2 - 0——LOST
2026-02-25M25 Vale do LoboHardT. Pereira0 - 2——LOST
2026-02-18M25 Vila Real de Santo António 2HardT. Cacao2 - 0——LOST
2026-02-12M25 Vila Real de Santo AntonioHardA. Soriano Barrera0 - 2——LOST
2026-02-11M25 Vila Real de Santo AntonioHardT. Cacao2 - 1——WON

J. Barranco Cosano — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05BragaClayN. Barrientos0 - 1 RET1.2375%WON
2026-10-04BragaClayH. Maia0 - 21.0292%WON
2026-10-01M25 ZaragozaClayL. Carboni2 - 01.5661%LOST
2026-09-30M25 ZaragozaClayO. Font0 - 21.0296%WON
2026-09-21Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayJ. Sperle0 - 1 RET——LOST
2026-09-20Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayE. Ruffino2 - 0——WON
2026-08-25M25 OviedoClayA. G. Carbajal1 - 1 RET——LOST
2026-08-19PragueClayR. M. Papoe2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-18PragueClayM. Krumich2 - 1——WON
2026-08-17PragueClayA. Martin1 - 2——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Hugo Maia or Cosano Javier Barranco?

Cosano Javier Barranco is favourite at 1.02, which is a 92% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Hugo Maia vs Cosano Javier Barranco?

Hugo Maia is 12.00 and Cosano Javier Barranco is 1.02, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.

What is the head-to-head between Hugo Maia and Cosano Javier Barranco?

They have met 1 time and Cosano Javier Barranco leads 1-0.

Who will win Hugo Maia vs Cosano Javier Barranco?

Our model makes it Hugo Maia to win a set (Lean confidence).

Also at this event