THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 05 OCTOBERMATCHES 159EVENTS 13ALERTS 78
ChallengerClayBraga2026-10-04 11:00

Johan Nikles v M. Bernardo

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
J. Nikles to win1.00
Price too short today - wait for 1.10 or bigger · our chance 92% · market 92/8, us 92/8

J. Nikles is 7-3 over the last ten and 28-17 on clay this season. M. Bernardo is 0-0 over the last ten.

The pick is J. Nikles to win. We make it a 92% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.10 or bigger. At 1.00 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. NiklesM. Bernardo
-Ranking-
7-3Last 100-0
LWWLWLast 5-
-V the odds-
37-21Season0-0
28-17Clay 20260-0
0Last 7 days0
19dDays rest-
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. NiklesFAV1.0092%
M. Bernardo11.008%
Market says92% Nikles

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

J. Nikles1
M. Bernardo0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-04BragaJ. NiklesvM. Bernardo2 - 0

This season & this event

J. Nikles
M. Bernardo
39-21
30-17
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
0-1
0-1
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Johan Nikles
Switzerland
M. Bernardo
552
29
Switzerland
37–24
1
20–12
17–12
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Nikles — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05BragaClayV. Orlov2 - 01.4964%WON
2026-10-04BragaClayM. Bernardo2 - 01.0092%WON
2026-09-15SzczecinClayL. Djere1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-14SzczecinClayM. Cerny2 - 0——WON
2026-09-13SzczecinClayS. Purtseladze2 - 0——WON
2026-09-05ComoClayM. Dodig0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-04ComoClayA. Nedic1 - 2——WON
2026-09-02ComoClayF. C. Jianu2 - 0——WON
2026-09-01ComoClayO. Wallin1 - 2——WON
2026-08-31ComoClayL. Rottoli2 - 1——WON

M. Bernardo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04BragaClayJ. Nikles2 - 011.0092%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Johan Nikles or M. Bernardo?

Johan Nikles is favourite at 1.00, which is a 92% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Johan Nikles vs M. Bernardo?

Johan Nikles is 1.00 and M. Bernardo is 11.00, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.

What is the head-to-head between Johan Nikles and M. Bernardo?

They have met 1 time and Johan Nikles leads 1-0.

Who will win Johan Nikles vs M. Bernardo?

Our model makes it Johan Nikles to win at 1.00 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event