Tiago Cacao v Milos Karol
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTM. Karol is 6-4 over the last ten and 3-5 on clay this season. T. Cacao is 5-5 over the last ten and 3-4 on clay this season.
The pick is M. Karol to win. We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.76 or bigger. At 1.69 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| T. Cacao | M. Karol | |
|---|---|---|
| 883 | Ranking | 436 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| LLLWW | Last 5 | LWWLL |
| -0.2 | V the odds | - |
| 22-23 | Season | 17-14 |
| 3-4 | Clay 2026 | 3-5 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 7d | Days rest | 110d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | 110d out |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Braga | T. CacaovM. Karol | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
T. Cacao — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | O. Wallin | 2 - 0 | 2.53 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-10-04 | Braga | Clay | M. Karol | 2 - 0 | 2.03 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | A. Matusevich | 2 - 1 | 3.84 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | M25 Setubal | Hard | R. Bertrand | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | P. Schoen | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | A. Deckers | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | T. Torres | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | B. T. George | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-11 | M25 Sintra | Hard | F. Tabacco | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-10 | M25 Sintra | Hard | O. Weightman | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
M. Karol — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Braga | Clay | T. Cacao | 2 - 0 | 1.69 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-06-16 | Poznan | Clay | J. Reis Da Silva | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-06-15 | Poznan | Clay | M. Vrbensky | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-06-15 | Poznan | Clay | L. Castelnuovo | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-06-07 | Bratislava | Hard | N. Alvarez Varona | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-06-04 | Prostejov | Hard (Indoor) | A. Molcan | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-06-02 | Prostejov | Hard (Indoor) | C. A. Caniato | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-06-01 | Prostejov | Hard (Indoor) | M. Gengel | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-05-31 | Prostejov | Hard (Indoor) | S. Purtseladze | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-05-27 | Kosice | Clay | A. Martin | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Tiago Cacao or Milos Karol?
Milos Karol is favourite at 1.69, which is a 55% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Tiago Cacao vs Milos Karol?
Tiago Cacao is 2.03 and Milos Karol is 1.69, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.
What is the head-to-head between Tiago Cacao and Milos Karol?
They have met 1 time and Tiago Cacao leads 1-0.
Who will win Tiago Cacao vs Milos Karol?
Our model makes it Milos Karol to win at 1.69 (Lean confidence).