THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 05 OCTOBERMATCHES 159EVENTS 13ALERTS 78
ChallengerClayBraga2026-10-04 12:30

Olle Wallin v Pedro Rodenas

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
O. Wallin to win1.58
Price too short today - wait for 1.72 or bigger · our chance 58% · market 59/41, us 58/42

O. Wallin is 5-5 over the last ten and 21-12 on clay this season. P. Rodenas is 6-4 over the last ten and 17-10 on clay this season.

The pick is O. Wallin to win. We make it a 58% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.72 or bigger. At 1.58 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

O. WallinP. Rodenas
443Ranking-
5-5Last 106-4
LLWLWLast 5LWLWL
-0.5V the odds-0.3
37-23Season19-12
21-12Clay 202617-10
1Last 7 days2
5dDays rest3d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

O. WallinFAV1.5659%
P. Rodenas2.2141%
Market says59% Wallin

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

O. Wallin1
P. Rodenas0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-04BragaO. WallinvP. Rodenas2 - 1

This season & this event

O. Wallin
P. Rodenas
39-23
23-13
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
19-13
17-11
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Olle Wallin
Sweden
Pedro Rodenas
Spain
443
24
Sweden
4–1
1
4–1
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
828
22
Spain
17–12
0
5–3
12–9
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

O. Wallin — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05BragaClayT. Cacao2 - 01.5163%WON
2026-10-04BragaClayP. Rodenas2 - 11.5659%WON
2026-09-29Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayM. Donald0 - 21.8053%LOST
2026-09-20ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryC. H. Tseng2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryY. H. Hsu1 - 2——WON
2026-09-08TullnClayZ. Kolar2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-07TullnClayN. Gombos0 - 2——WON
2026-09-06TullnClayM. Ujvary0 - 2——WON
2026-09-01ComoClayJ. Nikles1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-31ComoClayA. Colombo2 - 1——WON

P. Rodenas — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04BragaClayO. Wallin2 - 12.2159%LOST
2026-10-01M25 ZaragozaClayN. Ifi2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-29M25 ZaragozaClayO. J. Gutierrez2 - 0——WON
2026-09-24M25 Sabadell 2ClayI. Xilas1 - 21.6259%LOST
2026-09-23M25 Sabadell 2ClayM. De Krom0 - 21.2875%WON
2026-09-05M15 MadridClay (Indoor)M. Van Der Meerschen0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-04M15 MadridClay (Indoor)A. Garcia0 - 2——WON
2026-09-03M15 MadridClay (Indoor)N. Djukic Valera1 - 2——WON
2026-09-01M15 MadridClay (Indoor)S. Fita Juan0 - 2——WON
2026-08-28M25 OviedoClayS. Perez Contri2 - 1——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Olle Wallin or Pedro Rodenas?

Olle Wallin is favourite at 1.56, which is a 59% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Olle Wallin vs Pedro Rodenas?

Olle Wallin is 1.56 and Pedro Rodenas is 2.21, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.

What is the head-to-head between Olle Wallin and Pedro Rodenas?

They have met 1 time and Olle Wallin leads 1-0.

Who will win Olle Wallin vs Pedro Rodenas?

Our model makes it Olle Wallin to win at 1.58 (Lean confidence).

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