ATPHard (Indoor)Basel · 1/16-finals2026-10-27 10:00

Hubert Hurkacz v Zizou Bergs

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean

H. Hurkacz to win1.53

Price too short today - wait for 1.54 or bigger · our chance 65% · market 59/41, us 65/35

H. Hurkacz is 7-3 over the last ten and 24-14 on hard this season. Z. Bergs is 6-4 over the last ten and 15-15 on hard this season. H. Hurkacz retired from a match in the last month. Z. Bergs took a medical timeout on 2026-10-14. The head to head is H. Hurkacz 1-0.

The pick is H. Hurkacz to win. We make it a 65% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.54 or bigger. At 1.53 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

H. Hurkacz		Z. Bergs
34	Ranking	39
7-3	Last 10	6-4
LWWWL	Last 5	LWWLW
+1.2	V the odds	+0.6
36-23	Season	30-26
24-14	Hard 2026	15-15
0	Last 7 days	2
13d	Days rest	4d
0	Wins here	0
retired	Fitness	MTO
	Head to head 1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

H. HurkaczFAV1.5359%

Z. Bergs2.2141%

Market says59% Hurkacz

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

H. HurkaczLWWWL

Z. BergsLWWLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

H. Hurkacz1

Z. Bergs0

Head to head1 meeting

Date	Event	Match	Score
2026-01-20	Australian Open	H. HurkaczvZ. Bergs	6-7 7-6 6-3 6-3

This season & this event

H. Hurkacz

Z. Bergs

36-23

24-14

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

30-26

15-15

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Hubert Hurkacz

Poland

Zizou Bergs

Belgium

Poland

35–21

23–13

8–5

4–3

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

Belgium

28–25

13–14

7–7

7–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

H. Hurkacz — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-14	Shanghai	Hard	A. Davidovich Fokina		1.91	51%	LOST
Games in each set6-1 3-6 6-7 HurkaczFokinaPoints won53%47%Serve points won71%61%Return points won39%29%Games held12 of 1411 of 14Break points saved0 of 29 of 12Aces213Double faults10
2026-10-12	Shanghai	Hard	Y. Zhou		1.14	86%	WON
Games in each set6-2 3-6 6-3 HurkaczZhouPoints won54%46%Serve points won74%64%Return points won36%26%Games held12 of 1310 of 13Break points saved3 of 46 of 9Aces183Double faults12
2026-10-10	Shanghai	Hard	N. Djokovic		2.65	63%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-3 HurkaczDjokovicPoints won56%44%Serve points won73%62%Return points won38%27%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved2 of 23 of 5Aces132Double faults21
2026-10-07	Shanghai	Hard	J. Duckworth		1.45	67%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-6 HurkaczDuckworthPoints won55%45%Serve points won78%73%Return points won27%22%Games held11 of 119 of 10Break points saved0 of 00 of 1Aces196Double faults11
2026-10-05	Beijing	Hard	A. De Minaur	RET	2.20	56%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 2-3 HurkaczMinaurPoints won42%58%Serve points won54%73%Return points won27%46%Games held5 of 86 of 7Break points saved6 of 92 of 3Aces83Double faults01
2026-10-04	Beijing	Hard	K. Khachanov		2.34	58%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-2 HurkaczKhachanovPoints won56%44%Serve points won75%66%Return points won34%25%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved1 of 10 of 2Aces87Double faults01
2026-10-02	Beijing	Hard	A. Gea		1.69	57%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-7 6-2 HurkaczGeaPoints won52%48%Serve points won71%69%Return points won31%29%Games held16 of 1614 of 16Break points saved5 of 50 of 2Aces138Double faults43
2026-09-30	Beijing	Hard	L. Tien		2.48	61%	WON
Games in each set5-7 6-3 6-4 HurkaczTienPoints won53%47%Serve points won70%66%Return points won34%30%Games held14 of 1612 of 15Break points saved3 of 54 of 7Aces125Double faults21
2026-09-29	Chengdu	Hard	A. Davidovich Fokina		1.68	57%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-7 HurkaczFokinaPoints won45%55%Serve points won63%78%Return points won22%37%Games held10 of 1111 of 11Break points saved5 of 61 of 1Aces178Double faults22
2026-09-28	Chengdu	Hard	D. Shapovalov		—	—	WON
Games in each set6-7 6-3 6-3 HurkaczShapovalovPoints won53%47%Serve points won74%65%Return points won35%26%Games held15 of 1512 of 15Break points saved3 of 32 of 5Aces814Double faults34

Z. Bergs — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-23	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	J-L. Struff	1.47	66%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-7 BergsStruffPoints won47%53%Serve points won67%68%Return points won32%33%Games held9 of 1011 of 11Break points saved1 of 25 of 5Aces135Double faults32
2026-10-22	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	D. Dzumhur	1.25	78%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-4 BergsDzumhurPoints won58%42%Serve points won75%60%Return points won40%25%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved2 of 22 of 5Aces120Double faults01
2026-10-19	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	T. Samuel	1.45	67%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-6 BergsSamuelPoints won55%45%Serve points won75%67%Return points won33%25%Games held11 of 119 of 10Break points saved4 of 43 of 4Aces96Double faults42
2026-10-14	Shanghai	Hard	T. Paul	2.87	66%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 4-6 BergsPaulPoints won49%51%Serve points won69%67%Return points won33%31%Games held9 of 1110 of 11Break points saved2 of 48 of 9Aces43Double faults32
2026-10-12	Shanghai	Hard	C. Alcaraz	10.69	91%	WON
Games in each set7-5 7-6 BergsAlcarazPoints won53%47%Serve points won68%62%Return points won38%32%Games held10 of 129 of 12Break points saved0 of 21 of 4Aces95Double faults12
2026-10-10	Shanghai	Hard	I. Buse	1.54	63%	WON
Games in each set6-0 6-3 BergsBusePoints won61%39%Serve points won70%46%Return points won54%30%Games held7 of 73 of 8Break points saved2 of 24 of 9Aces33Double faults03
2026-10-07	Shanghai	Hard	V. Kopriva	1.39	70%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-1 BergsKoprivaPoints won62%38%Serve points won77%48%Return points won52%23%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved0 of 010 of 14Aces72Double faults13
2026-09-30	Tokyo	Hard	J. Lehecka	3.31	71%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 7-6 3-6 BergsLeheckaPoints won47%53%Serve points won63%69%Return points won31%37%Games held12 of 1416 of 16Break points saved11 of 132 of 2Aces19Double faults32
2026-09-19	ATP Davis Cup - World Group	- Play Offs	J. Rodionov	1.56	62%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 3-6 BergsRodionovPoints won48%52%Serve points won54%57%Return points won43%46%Games held6 of 117 of 10Break points saved6 of 119 of 12Aces47Double faults40
2026-09-18	ATP Davis Cup - World Group	- Play Offs	L. Neumayer	1.40	67%	WON
Games in each set2-6 6-4 6-2 BergsNeumayerPoints won51%49%Serve points won66%66%Return points won34%34%Games held10 of 139 of 13Break points saved2 of 53 of 7Aces92Double faults43

Common questions

Who is favourite, Hubert Hurkacz or Zizou Bergs?

Hubert Hurkacz is favourite at 1.53, which is a 59% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs?

Hubert Hurkacz is 1.53 and Zizou Bergs is 2.21, the prices we recorded for the Basel match.

What is the head-to-head between Hubert Hurkacz and Zizou Bergs?

They have met 1 time and Hubert Hurkacz leads 1-0.

Who will win Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs?

Our model makes it Hubert Hurkacz to win at 1.53 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event

Fokina v Bergs Djokovic v Humbert Fritz v Tsitsipas Hurkacz v Fils Kym v Rinderknech Michelsen v Zandschulp