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ChallengerClayAntofagasta2026-10-05 15:00

Hernan Casanova v Bernardo Munk Mesa

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

StrongWON
B. Munk Mesa to win2.70
Worth backing at 2.38 or bigger · our chance 42% · market 65/35, us 58/42

B. Munk Mesa is 5-5 over the last ten and 5-7 on clay this season. H. Casanova is 4-6 over the last ten and 18-15 on clay this season.

The pick is B. Munk Mesa to win. We make it a 42% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.38 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

H. CasanovaB. Munk Mesa
420Ranking1385
4-6Last 105-5
WLLLLLast 5WLLLW
-0.0V the odds+0.6
20-16Season10-14
18-15Clay 20265-7
2Last 7 days1
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

H. CasanovaFAV1.4665%
B. Munk Mesa2.7035%
Market says65% Casanova

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

H. Casanova0
B. Munk Mesa1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-05AntofagastaH. CasanovavB. Munk Mesa1 - 2

This season & this event

H. Casanova
B. Munk Mesa
20-17
18-16
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
11-15
6-8
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Hernan Casanova
Argentina
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Spain
411
32
Argentina
20–16
0
—
20–16
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
1385
20
Spain
3–2
0
3–2
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

H. Casanova — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayB. Munk Mesa1 - 21.4665%LOST
2026-10-04AntofagastaClayW. Leite2 - 11.1284%WON
2026-09-28CuritibaClayG. Heide2 - 05.3682%LOST
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayM. A. Dellien Velasco2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-11M25 MuttenzClayF. Thomas1 - 0 RET——LOST
2026-08-04Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria)ClayY. T. Alexandrescou0 - 2——LOST
2026-07-24M25 DeniaClayC. Lopez Montagud0 - 1 RET——LOST
2026-07-23M25 DeniaClayL. Hede2 - 0——WON
2026-07-22M25 DeniaClayJ. Garcia Mestre2 - 0——WON
2026-07-10BogotaHardN. Mejia2 - 0——LOST

B. Munk Mesa — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06AntofagastaClayJ. Reis Da Silva0 - 25.2082%LOST
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayH. Casanova1 - 22.7065%WON
2026-10-04AntofagastaClayB. Fernandez2 - 02.3560%WON
2026-09-22M25 Sabadell 2ClayO. J. Gutierrez2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-08M25 GijonClayM. Arce Fernandez2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-04M15 MadridClay (Indoor)R. Nijboer2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-03M15 MadridClay (Indoor)J. I. Gallego1 - 2——WON
2026-09-01M15 MadridClay (Indoor)C. Cordoba1 - 1 RET——WON
2026-08-26M25 OviedoClayP. Vives Marcos2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-24M25 OviedoClayM. De Krom2 - 0——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Hernan Casanova or Bernardo Munk Mesa?

Hernan Casanova is favourite at 1.46, which is a 65% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Hernan Casanova vs Bernardo Munk Mesa?

Hernan Casanova is 1.46 and Bernardo Munk Mesa is 2.70, the prices we recorded for the Antofagasta match.

What is the head-to-head between Hernan Casanova and Bernardo Munk Mesa?

They have met 1 time and Bernardo Munk Mesa leads 1-0.

Who will win Hernan Casanova vs Bernardo Munk Mesa?

Our model makes it Bernardo Munk Mesa to win at 2.70 (Strong confidence).

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