Gonzalo Villanueva v Nick Hardt
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongLOSTG. Villanueva is 6-4 over the last ten and 45-24 on clay this season. N. Hardt is 5-5 over the last ten and 29-8 on clay this season. The head to head is G. Villanueva 1-1.
The pick is G. Villanueva to win. We make it a 62% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.63 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| G. Villanueva | N. Hardt | |
|---|---|---|
| 376 | Ranking | 513 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LWWLL | Last 5 | WWLLL |
| +1.0 | V the odds | - |
| 46-26 | Season | 37-12 |
| 45-24 | Clay 2026 | 29-8 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 3d | Days rest | 16d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | G. VillanuevavN. Hardt | 1 - 2 |
| 2026-06-07 | M25 Cuiaba | N. HardtvG. Villanueva | 2 - 1 |
| 2023-04-26 | Buenos Aires Challenger Men | G. VillanuevavN. Hardt | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players


Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
G. Villanueva — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | N. Hardt | 1 - 2 | 1.78 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-10-02 | Curitiba | Clay | G. I. Justo | 2 - 0 | 2.52 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-10-01 | Curitiba | Clay | M. Alves | 0 - 2 | 2.72 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Curitiba | Clay | J. C. Prado Angelo | 2 - 1 | 3.10 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | G. I. Justo | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-29 | M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina) | Clay | J. Aguilar Cardozo | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-28 | M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina) | Clay | S. De La Fuente | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina) | Clay | V. A. Darderi | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina) | Clay | L. C. Castro | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-22 | M15 Asuncion 2 (Paraguay) | Clay | J. Aguilar Cardozo | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
N. Hardt — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | G. Villanueva | 1 - 2 | 2.08 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | O. Kandil | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | K. Mabrouk | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | Porto 2 | Clay | M. Cecchinato | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Augsburg | Clay | K. Wehnelt | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Prague | Clay | O. Krutykh | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-17 | Prague | Clay | J. Filip | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-10 | Todi | Clay | M. Cecchinato | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-09 | Bogota | Hard | L. Claverie | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-07 | Bogota | Hard | A. Hernandez | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Gonzalo Villanueva or Nick Hardt?
Gonzalo Villanueva is favourite at 1.78, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nick Hardt?
Gonzalo Villanueva is 1.78 and Nick Hardt is 2.08, the prices we recorded for the Antofagasta match.
What is the head-to-head between Gonzalo Villanueva and Nick Hardt?
They have met 3 times and Nick Hardt leads 2-1.
Who will win Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nick Hardt?
Our model makes it Gonzalo Villanueva to win at 1.77 (Strong confidence).