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ChallengerClayAntofagasta2026-10-05 15:00

Gonzalo Villanueva v Nick Hardt

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

StrongLOST
G. Villanueva to win1.77
Worth backing at 1.63 or bigger · our chance 62% · market 54/46, us 62/38

G. Villanueva is 6-4 over the last ten and 45-24 on clay this season. N. Hardt is 5-5 over the last ten and 29-8 on clay this season. The head to head is G. Villanueva 1-1.

The pick is G. Villanueva to win. We make it a 62% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.63 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

G. VillanuevaN. Hardt
376Ranking513
6-4Last 105-5
LWWLLLast 5WWLLL
+1.0V the odds-
46-26Season37-12
45-24Clay 202629-8
3Last 7 days0
3dDays rest16d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
1-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

G. VillanuevaFAV1.7854%
N. Hardt2.0846%
Market says54% Villanueva

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

G. Villanueva1
N. Hardt2
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-05AntofagastaG. VillanuevavN. Hardt1 - 2
2026-06-07M25 CuiabaN. HardtvG. Villanueva2 - 1
2023-04-26Buenos Aires Challenger MenG. VillanuevavN. Hardt2 - 1

This season & this event

G. Villanueva
N. Hardt
46-27
45-25
Lost R32 to F. Roncadelli
Lost R32 to D. Vallejo
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
38-12
30-8
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Gonzalo Villanueva
Argentina
Nick Hardt
Dominican Republic
323
31
Argentina
46–26
0
1–1
45–25
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
275
26
Dominican Republic
37–12
4
4–3
30–9
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

G. Villanueva — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayN. Hardt1 - 21.7854%LOST
2026-10-02CuritibaClayG. I. Justo2 - 02.5262%LOST
2026-10-01CuritibaClayM. Alves0 - 22.7266%WON
2026-09-28CuritibaClayJ. C. Prado Angelo2 - 13.1069%WON
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayG. I. Justo1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-29M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina)ClayJ. Aguilar Cardozo1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-28M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina)ClayS. De La Fuente2 - 0——WON
2026-08-27M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina)ClayV. A. Darderi2 - 0——WON
2026-08-26M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina)ClayL. C. Castro2 - 0——WON
2026-08-22M15 Asuncion 2 (Paraguay)ClayJ. Aguilar Cardozo0 - 2——LOST

N. Hardt — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayG. Villanueva1 - 22.0854%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryO. Kandil2 - 0——WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryK. Mabrouk2 - 0——WON
2026-09-01Porto 2ClayM. Cecchinato1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-25AugsburgClayK. Wehnelt2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-19PragueClayO. Krutykh2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-17PragueClayJ. Filip0 - 2——WON
2026-08-10TodiClayM. Cecchinato2 - 0——LOST
2026-07-09BogotaHardL. Claverie2 - 0——LOST
2026-07-07BogotaHardA. Hernandez1 - 2——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Gonzalo Villanueva or Nick Hardt?

Gonzalo Villanueva is favourite at 1.78, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nick Hardt?

Gonzalo Villanueva is 1.78 and Nick Hardt is 2.08, the prices we recorded for the Antofagasta match.

What is the head-to-head between Gonzalo Villanueva and Nick Hardt?

They have met 3 times and Nick Hardt leads 2-1.

Who will win Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nick Hardt?

Our model makes it Gonzalo Villanueva to win at 1.77 (Strong confidence).

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