Francisco Rocha v Lui Maxted
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidLOSTL. Maxted is 5-5 over the last ten. F. Rocha is 3-7 over the last ten and 2-7 on clay this season.
The pick is L. Maxted to win 2-0. We make it a 45% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.25 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| F. Rocha | L. Maxted | |
|---|---|---|
| 772 | Ranking | 492 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LWLLW | Last 5 | LWWLW |
| -2.3 | V the odds | -0.1 |
| 16-25 | Season | 28-18 |
| 2-7 | Clay 2026 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 3d | Days rest | 2d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head - |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | F. RochavL. Maxted | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
F. Rocha — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | L. Maxted | 1 - 2 | 3.05 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-09-24 | M25 Setubal | Hard | M. Agwi | 2 - 0 | 2.40 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | M25 Setubal | Hard | S. Monteiro | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | B. Pietri | 2 - 0 | 1.65 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-11 | M25 Sintra | Hard | J. Anthrop | 2 - 0 | 2.59 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-09-10 | M25 Sintra | Hard | J. D. Silva | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | M25 Sintra | Hard | J. Penzlin | 0 - 2 | 1.38 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | Porto 2 | Clay | T. Pereira | 0 - 2 | 3.71 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-08-12 | M25 Idanha-a-Nova | Hard | T. Cacao | 0 - 2 | 2.16 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-07-18 | Estoril | Clay | G. Bueno | 0 - 2 | 6.13 | 84% | LOST |
L. Maxted — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | L. Potenza | 1 - 0 RET | 1.63 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | F. Rocha | 1 - 2 | 1.33 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | M25 Setubal | Hard | I. Montes-De La Torre | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-24 | M25 Setubal | Hard | T. Stice | 0 - 2 | 1.11 | 87% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | M25 Setubal | Hard | B. Baker | 0 - 2 | 1.26 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | F. Tabacco | 0 - 2 | 1.54 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-09-17 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | J. Penzlin | 2 - 0 | 1.10 | 83% | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | G. Marques | 0 - 0 RET | 1.65 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | Mallorca | Hard | G. A. Boitan | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification | Hard | J. Monday | 2 - 1 | 2.48 | 61% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Francisco Rocha or Lui Maxted?
Lui Maxted is favourite at 1.33, which is a 70% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Francisco Rocha vs Lui Maxted?
Francisco Rocha is 3.05 and Lui Maxted is 1.33, the prices we recorded for the Porto match.
What is the head-to-head between Francisco Rocha and Lui Maxted?
They have met 1 time and Lui Maxted leads 1-0.
Who will win Francisco Rocha vs Lui Maxted?
Our model makes it Lui Maxted to win 2-0 (Solid confidence).