THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 05 OCTOBERMATCHES 159EVENTS 13ALERTS 78
ChallengerClayBraga2026-10-04 15:30

Filip Pieczonka v Adrian Oetzbach

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
F. Pieczonka to win1.42
Price too short today - wait for 1.54 or bigger · our chance 65% · market 65/35, us 65/35

F. Pieczonka is 6-4 over the last ten and 8-4 on clay this season. A. Oetzbach is 6-4 over the last ten and 28-19 on clay this season.

The pick is F. Pieczonka to win. We make it a 65% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.54 or bigger. At 1.42 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

F. PieczonkaA. Oetzbach
1207Ranking-
6-4Last 106-4
LWWWLLast 5LWLLW
-V the odds-
10-6Season33-24
8-4Clay 202628-19
0Last 7 days2
17dDays rest6d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

F. PieczonkaFAV1.4565%
A. Oetzbach2.7235%
Market says65% Pieczonka

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

F. Pieczonka1
A. Oetzbach0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-04BragaF. PieczonkavA. Oetzbach2 - 0

This season & this event

F. Pieczonka
A. Oetzbach
11-7
9-5
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
33-25
29-21
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Filip Pieczonka
Poland
Adrian Oetzbach
Germany
1207
22
Poland
7–5
0
1–2
5–3
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
595
28
Germany
45–34
0
11–11
34–23
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

F. Pieczonka — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05BragaClayO. Krutykh2 - 11.9252%LOST
2026-10-04BragaClayA. Oetzbach2 - 01.4565%WON
2026-09-17SzczecinClayM. Trungelliti1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-15SzczecinClayT. Pereira1 - 2——WON
2026-09-14SzczecinClayN. Mashtakov2 - 0——WON
2026-09-13SzczecinClayC. Sanchez Jover0 - 2——WON
2026-08-29M25 PoznanClayM. Savano1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-28M25 PoznanClayG. Campana Lee0 - 2——WON
2026-08-27M25 PoznanClayO. Prihodko2 - 1——WON
2026-08-25M25 PoznanClayA. Wazny0 - 2——WON

A. Oetzbach — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04BragaClayF. Pieczonka2 - 02.7265%LOST
2026-09-28Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayI. Lopez Morillo2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-27Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayR. Trione0 - 2——WON
2026-09-20Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayG. Lazarov2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-13BiellaClayP. Basile0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-06M25 MeerbuschClayE. Vasa2 - 0——WON
2026-09-05M25 MeerbuschClayB. Fernandez2 - 0——WON
2026-09-04M25 MeerbuschClayL. Ratti0 - 2——WON
2026-09-03M25 MeerbuschClayM. Majdandzic0 - 2——WON
2026-09-02M25 MeerbuschClayM. Hornung0 - 2——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Filip Pieczonka or Adrian Oetzbach?

Filip Pieczonka is favourite at 1.45, which is a 65% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Filip Pieczonka vs Adrian Oetzbach?

Filip Pieczonka is 1.45 and Adrian Oetzbach is 2.72, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.

What is the head-to-head between Filip Pieczonka and Adrian Oetzbach?

They have met 1 time and Filip Pieczonka leads 1-0.

Who will win Filip Pieczonka vs Adrian Oetzbach?

Our model makes it Filip Pieczonka to win at 1.42 (Lean confidence).

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