Dominic Stricker v Casper Ruud
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanC. Ruud is 6-4 over the last ten and 17-13 on hard this season. D. Stricker is 6-4 over the last ten and 20-4 on hard this season. D. Stricker withdrew from a match in the last month. The head to head is D. Stricker 1-1.
The pick is C. Ruud to win 2-0. We make it a 46% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.18 or bigger. At 1.97 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| D. Stricker | C. Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| 263 | Ranking | 24 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WWLWW | Last 5 | LWWWL |
| -0.2 | V the odds | -0.0 |
| 41-16 | Season | 33-20 |
| 20-4 | Hard 2026 | 17-13 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 12d | Days rest | 11d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| withdrew | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-16 | Gstaad | C. RuudvD. Stricker | 7-5 7-6 |
| 2023-10-26 | ATP Basel | D. StrickervC. Ruud | 6-4 3-6 7-6 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
D. Stricker — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | O. Virtanen | 2.19 | 56% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 5-7 6-3 StrickerVirtanenPoints won51%49%Serve points won74%72%Return points won28%26%Games held16 of 1714 of 16Break points saved0 of 14 of 6Aces917Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | P. Henning | 1.38 | 70% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-3 StrickerHenningPoints won60%40%Serve points won74%50%Return points won50%26%Games held8 of 85 of 9Break points saved0 of 09 of 13Aces61Double faults02 | |||||||
| 2026-10-06 | Villena | Clay | L. Djere | 1.65 | 59% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 5-7 StrickerDjerePoints won42%58%Serve points won55%69%Return points won31%45%Games held5 of 99 of 10Break points saved3 of 72 of 3Aces26Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-10-05 | Villena | Clay | M. Topo | 1.50 | 62% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-2 StrickerTopoPoints won62%38%Serve points won82%52%Return points won48%18%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved0 of 03 of 7Aces65Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-10-04 | Villena | Clay | E. Carrascosa Diaz | 1.02 | 95% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 7-5 StrickerDiazPoints won56%44%Serve points won72%58%Return points won42%28%Games held10 of 108 of 11Break points saved4 of 48 of 11Aces43Double faults04 | |||||||
| 2026-10-01 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | H. Bernet | 1.58 | 60% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 6-7 StrickerBernetPoints won42%58%Serve points won63%76%Return points won24%37%Games held7 of 910 of 10Break points saved1 of 31 of 1Aces1011Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-09-28 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | L. Broady | 1.42 | 68% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 3-6 6-1 StrickerBroadyPoints won54%46%Serve points won71%61%Return points won39%29%Games held11 of 139 of 13Break points saved1 of 34 of 8Aces81Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | J. Fonseca | 3.90 | 76% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 3-6 2-6 StrickerFonsecaPoints won46%54%Serve points won61%71%Return points won29%39%Games held9 of 1312 of 14Break points saved4 of 80 of 2Aces13Double faults40 | |||||||
| 2026-08-25 | Augsburg | Clay | M. Krumich | 1.52 | 63% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 3-6 StrickerKrumichPoints won39%61%Serve points won51%76%Return points won24%49%Games held5 of 98 of 8Break points saved2 of 61 of 1Aces35Double faults42 | |||||||
| 2026-08-22 | Sion (Switzerland) | Clay | B. Hassan | 1.24 | 78% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 2-6 6-2 StrickerHassanPoints won60%40%Serve points won74%55%Return points won45%26%Games held10 of 127 of 11Break points saved1 of 30 of 4Aces114Double faults03 | |||||||
C. Ruud — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Shanghai | Hard | R. Jodar | 2.17 | 55% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 4-6 3-6 RuudJodarPoints won46%54%Serve points won56%67%Return points won33%44%Games held10 of 1511 of 14Break points saved10 of 154 of 7Aces106Double faults50 | |||||||
| 2026-10-14 | Shanghai | Hard | F. Auger-Aliassime | RET | 2.27 | 57% | WON |
Games in each set5-2 RuudAuger-AliassimePoints won59%41%Serve points won80%63%Return points won37%20%Games held4 of 42 of 3Break points saved0 of 00 of 1Aces01Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | L. Tien | 2.37 | 59% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 7-6 RuudTienPoints won53%47%Serve points won72%64%Return points won36%28%Games held11 of 1110 of 11Break points saved2 of 28 of 9Aces137Double faults35 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | Y. Bu | 2.01 | 52% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 7-6 RuudBuPoints won57%43%Serve points won74%58%Return points won42%26%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved3 of 35 of 7Aces1410Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | L. Darderi | 1.46 | 67% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 3-6 RuudDarderiPoints won43%57%Serve points won55%71%Return points won29%45%Games held7 of 109 of 11Break points saved5 of 86 of 8Aces1113Double faults43 | |||||||
| 2026-09-25 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | F. Cerundolo | 1.85 | 52% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-4 10-8 RuudCerundoloPoints won50%50%Serve points won68%69%Return points won31%32%Games held11 of 1110 of 11Break points saved1 of 13 of 4Aces65Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | F. Nidunjianzan | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-0 RuudNidunjianzanPoints won69%31%Serve points won82%42%Return points won58%18%Games held7 of 72 of 7Break points saved0 of 01 of 6Aces22Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | R. Te | 1.01 | 91% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 7-6 RuudTePoints won61%39%Serve points won90%60%Return points won40%10%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved0 of 07 of 9Aces32Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | C. O'Connell | RET | 1.32 | 73% | LOST |
Games in each set5-7 2-1 RuudO'ConnellPoints won49%51%Serve points won70%68%Return points won32%30%Games held6 of 86 of 7Break points saved0 of 21 of 2Aces113Double faults10 | |||||||
| 2026-08-08 | Montreal | Hard | J. Fonseca | 2.27 | 57% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 3-6 RuudFonsecaPoints won48%52%Serve points won63%65%Return points won35%37%Games held8 of 1010 of 11Break points saved1 of 36 of 7Aces35Double faults72 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Dominic Stricker or Casper Ruud?
Casper Ruud is favourite at 1.35, which is a 72% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Dominic Stricker vs Casper Ruud?
Dominic Stricker is 3.39 and Casper Ruud is 1.35, the prices we recorded for the Basel match.
What is the head-to-head between Dominic Stricker and Casper Ruud?
They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.
Who will win Dominic Stricker vs Casper Ruud?
Our model makes it Casper Ruud to win 2-0 at 1.97 (Lean confidence).