THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 05 OCTOBERMATCHES 159EVENTS 13ALERTS 78
ChallengerClayBraga2026-10-04 15:30

Contri Sergi Perez v Nicolas Barrientos

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
S. Perez Contri to win1.40
Price too short today - wait for 1.48 or bigger · our chance 68% · market 68/32, us 68/32

S. Perez Contri is 7-3 over the last ten and 35-15 on clay this season. N. Barrientos is 2-4 over the last ten and 2-4 on clay this season.

The pick is S. Perez Contri to win. We make it a 68% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.48 or bigger. At 1.40 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

S. Perez ContriN. Barrientos
-Ranking-
7-3Last 102-4
LLWWWLast 5LLWLW
-V the odds-
42-20Season2-4
35-15Clay 20262-4
0Last 7 days0
28dDays rest35d
0Wins here0
28d outFitness35d out
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

S. Perez ContriFAV1.4068%
N. Barrientos2.9432%
Market says68% Contri

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

S. Perez Contri0
N. Barrientos1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-04BragaS. Perez ContrivN. Barrientos1 - 2

This season & this event

S. Perez Contri
N. Barrientos
42-21
35-16
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
3-5
3-5
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Sergi Perez Contri
Spain
Nicolas Barrientos
Colombia
692
28
Spain
30–30
0
5–5
25–25
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
974
39
Colombia
5–2
0
—
5–2
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

S. Perez Contri — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04BragaClayN. Barrientos1 - 21.4068%LOST
2026-09-06SevilleClayA. Ritschard2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-29M25 OviedoClayA. Ritschard2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-28M25 OviedoClayP. Rodenas2 - 1——WON
2026-08-27M25 OviedoClayC. Hernandez1 - 2——WON
2026-08-26M25 OviedoClayC. Cordoba0 - 0 RET——WON
2026-08-25M25 OviedoClayI. Parisca0 - 2——WON
2026-08-22M25 SantanderClayC. Lopez Montagud1 - 2——WON
2026-08-22M25 SantanderClayA. Ritschard2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-19M25 SantanderClayB. Munk Mesa1 - 2——WON

N. Barrientos — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05BragaClayJ. Barranco Cosano0 - 1 RET3.7275%LOST
2026-10-04BragaClayS. Perez Contri1 - 22.9468%WON
2026-08-30Porto 2ClayE. Ribeiro2 - 0——LOST
2026-06-22Targu MuresClayD. Yevseyev0 - 2——LOST
2026-06-21Targu MuresClayS. A. Andreescu0 - 2——WON
2026-04-28CagliariClayL. Potenza0 - 1 RET——LOST
2026-04-27CagliariClayF. Andaloro0 - 2——WON
2026-03-22MontemarClayCh. Negritu2 - 0——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Contri Sergi Perez or Nicolas Barrientos?

Contri Sergi Perez is favourite at 1.40, which is a 68% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Contri Sergi Perez vs Nicolas Barrientos?

Contri Sergi Perez is 1.40 and Nicolas Barrientos is 2.94, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.

What is the head-to-head between Contri Sergi Perez and Nicolas Barrientos?

They have met 1 time and Nicolas Barrientos leads 1-0.

Who will win Contri Sergi Perez vs Nicolas Barrientos?

Our model makes it Contri Sergi Perez to win at 1.40 (Lean confidence).

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