Ben Shelton v Aleksandar Kovacevic
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanB. Shelton is 6-4 over the last ten and 26-9 on hard this season. A. Kovacevic is 3-7 over the last ten and 16-23 on hard this season. The head to head is B. Shelton 3-2.
The pick is B. Shelton to win 2-0. We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.75 or bigger. At 1.57 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| B. Shelton | A. Kovacevic | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ranking | 81 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 3-7 |
| LWLLL | Last 5 | LWLLL |
| -0.3 | V the odds | -1.8 |
| 41-17 | Season | 23-34 |
| 26-9 | Hard 2026 | 16-23 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 15d | Days rest | 2d |
| 0 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 3-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-19 | Champaign | B. SheltonvA. Kovacevic | 6-7 6-2 6-4 |
| 2022-11-11 | Knoxville | A. KovacevicvB. Shelton | 5-7 4-6 |
| 2022-07-23 | Indianapolis | A. KovacevicvB. Shelton | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2022-07-15 | Rome US | A. KovacevicvB. Shelton | 6-7 5-7 |
| 2021-07-19 | Cary | A. KovacevicvB. Shelton | 6-3 6-4 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
B. Shelton — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Gea | 1.36 | 72% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 6-7 SheltonGeaPoints won47%53%Serve points won59%66%Return points won34%41%Games held9 of 129 of 12Break points saved5 of 85 of 8Aces74Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | D. Altmaier | 1.11 | 87% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 7-6 SheltonAltmaierPoints won55%45%Serve points won73%63%Return points won37%27%Games held10 of 118 of 10Break points saved4 of 54 of 6Aces76Double faults50 | |||||||
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | J. Mensik | 1.69 | 57% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-5 4-6 3-6 SheltonMensikPoints won44%56%Serve points won66%84%Return points won16%34%Games held13 of 1515 of 16Break points saved5 of 70 of 1Aces49Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | J. Lehecka | 1.57 | 60% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 4-6 SheltonLeheckaPoints won46%54%Serve points won66%75%Return points won25%34%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved4 of 62 of 2Aces33Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-09-13 | US Open | Hard | A. Zverev | 2.36 | 59% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-7 7-5 2-6 SheltonZverevPoints won47%53%Serve points won67%73%Return points won27%33%Games held17 of 2119 of 20Break points saved2 of 62 of 3Aces109Double faults46 | |||||||
| 2026-09-11 | US Open | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 1.36 | 72% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-3 6-3 7-5 SheltonTiafoePoints won54%46%Serve points won71%61%Return points won39%29%Games held18 of 2015 of 20Break points saved5 of 76 of 11Aces203Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-09-08 | US Open | Hard | C. Alcaraz | 4.10 | 76% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-1 6-3 1-6 7-6 SheltonAlcarazPoints won51%49%Serve points won65%62%Return points won38%35%Games held20 of 2319 of 24Break points saved8 of 1111 of 16Aces73Double faults27 | |||||||
| 2026-09-07 | US Open | Hard | S. Tsitsipas | 1.34 | 73% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-3 6-4 SheltonTsitsipasPoints won59%41%Serve points won80%62%Return points won38%20%Games held14 of 149 of 13Break points saved0 of 02 of 6Aces122Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-09-04 | US Open | Hard | D. Shapovalov | 1.25 | 78% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-7 6-3 6-4 SheltonShapovalovPoints won53%47%Serve points won67%63%Return points won37%33%Games held18 of 2215 of 21Break points saved4 of 85 of 11Aces148Double faults77 | |||||||
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 1.43 | 68% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 5-7 7-6 7-5 SheltonHurkaczPoints won52%48%Serve points won71%67%Return points won33%29%Games held21 of 2319 of 22Break points saved5 of 78 of 11Aces614Double faults37 | |||||||
A. Kovacevic — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | G. Mpetshi Perricard | 1.71 | 56% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 6-7 KovacevicPerricardPoints won47%53%Serve points won76%83%Return points won17%24%Games held12 of 1212 of 12Break points saved1 of 11 of 1Aces1024Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | J. Duckworth | 1.63 | 59% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-3 KovacevicDuckworthPoints won54%46%Serve points won73%66%Return points won34%27%Games held11 of 119 of 10Break points saved3 of 34 of 5Aces2512Double faults34 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | S. Tsitsipas | 4.31 | 78% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 6-3 3-6 KovacevicTsitsipasPoints won48%52%Serve points won68%74%Return points won26%32%Games held14 of 1514 of 15Break points saved3 of 40 of 1Aces137Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | M. Berrettini | 2.67 | 64% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-6 1-6 4-6 KovacevicBerrettiniPoints won42%58%Serve points won59%84%Return points won16%41%Games held11 of 1415 of 15Break points saved8 of 110 of 0Aces323Double faults44 | |||||||
| 2026-09-29 | Tokyo | Hard | J. Munar | 2.30 | 58% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 3-6 KovacevicMunarPoints won40%60%Serve points won52%71%Return points won29%48%Games held4 of 88 of 9Break points saved0 of 43 of 4Aces310Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-09-28 | Tokyo | Hard | Z. Svajda | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-2 6-4 KovacevicSvajdaPoints won53%47%Serve points won71%66%Return points won34%29%Games held15 of 1512 of 15Break points saved6 of 63 of 6Aces1919Double faults25 | |||||||
| 2026-09-24 | Chengdu | Hard | L. Harris | 2.56 | 63% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 4-6 KovacevicHarrisPoints won44%56%Serve points won64%79%Return points won21%36%Games held7 of 910 of 10Break points saved4 of 63 of 3Aces1120Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | V. Vacherot | 2.03 | 52% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 3-6 5-7 KovacevicVacherotPoints won42%58%Serve points won60%79%Return points won21%40%Games held10 of 1415 of 15Break points saved7 of 110 of 0Aces814Double faults63 | |||||||
| 2026-08-28 | Winston-Salem | Hard | A. Fery | 1.93 | 51% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-3 5-7 3-6 KovacevicFeryPoints won48%52%Serve points won66%73%Return points won27%34%Games held13 of 1514 of 15Break points saved3 of 50 of 1Aces84Double faults70 | |||||||
| 2026-08-27 | Winston-Salem | Hard | S. Tsitsipas | 3.21 | 70% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 7-6 KovacevicTsitsipasPoints won55%45%Serve points won73%62%Return points won38%27%Games held11 of 119 of 10Break points saved3 of 35 of 6Aces1316Double faults43 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Ben Shelton or Aleksandar Kovacevic?
Ben Shelton is favourite at 1.17, which is a 81% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic?
Ben Shelton is 1.17 and Aleksandar Kovacevic is 5.00, the prices we recorded for the Basel match.
What is the head-to-head between Ben Shelton and Aleksandar Kovacevic?
They have met 5 times and Ben Shelton leads 3-2.
Who will win Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic?
Our model makes it Ben Shelton to win 2-0 at 1.57 (Lean confidence).