Alexander Shevchenko v Hubert Hurkacz
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONH. Hurkacz is 7-3 over the last ten and 14-11 on hard this season. A. Shevchenko is 3-7 over the last ten and 18-19 on hard this season. The head to head is A. Shevchenko 0-4.
The pick is H. Hurkacz to win 2-0. We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.75 or bigger. At 1.57 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Shevchenko | H. Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| 85 | Ranking | 53 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| LWLLL | Last 5 | LWWWW |
| -1.8 | V the odds | +0.4 |
| 27-32 | Season | 26-20 |
| 18-19 | Hard 2026 | 14-11 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 4d | Days rest | 21d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Defending semi | Fitness | 21d out |
| Head to head 0-4 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Chengdu | A. ShevchenkovH. Hurkacz | 0 - 2 |
| 2025-01-04 | United Cup | A. ShevchenkovH. Hurkacz | 0 - 2 |
| 2024-03-23 | ATP Miami | A. ShevchenkovH. Hurkacz | 1 - 2 |
| 2024-02-08 | ATP Marseille | H. HurkaczvA. Shevchenko | 2 - 0 |
| 2023-02-28 | ATP Dubai | A. ShevchenkovH. Hurkacz | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Shevchenko — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 0 - 2 | 4.93 | 80% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | K. Samrej | 1 - 2 | 1.36 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | M. Jones | 2 - 1 | 1.15 | 81% | WON |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | D. Prizmic | 3 - 2 | 3.29 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 0 | 2.82 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-08-13 | Cincinnati | Hard | C. O'Connell | 0 - 2 | 1.81 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-08-11 | Cincinnati | Hard | P. Llamas Ruiz | 2 - 0 | 1.84 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-08-01 | Montreal | Hard | K. Jacquet | 1 - 2 | 2.26 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-07-21 | Kitzbuhel | clay | J-L. Struff | 2 - 1 | 2.28 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-07-18 | Gstaad | Clay | S. Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | 4.32 | 77% | LOST |
H. Hurkacz — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Shevchenko | 0 - 2 | 1.21 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | B. Shelton | 3 - 1 | 3.08 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | D. Dzumhur | 1 - 3 | 1.09 | 89% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | Cancun 2 | Hard | S. Baez | 1 - 2 | 1.43 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-08-23 | Cancun 2 | Hard | M. Echargui | 2 - 0 | 1.12 | 86% | WON |
| 2026-08-21 | Cancun 2 | Hard | R. Safiullin | 0 - 2 | 1.56 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-08-20 | Cancun 2 | Hard | H. Rocha | 1 - 2 | 1.20 | 81% | WON |
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | Hard | T. Paul | 2 - 1 | 2.00 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | Hard | S. Shimabukuro | 0 - 2 | 1.28 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-08-07 | Montreal | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 1 | 1.55 | 63% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Alexander Shevchenko or Hubert Hurkacz?
Hubert Hurkacz is favourite at 1.21, which is a 80% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Alexander Shevchenko vs Hubert Hurkacz?
Alexander Shevchenko is 4.93 and Hubert Hurkacz is 1.21, the prices we recorded for the Chengdu match.
What is the head-to-head between Alexander Shevchenko and Hubert Hurkacz?
They have met 5 times and Hubert Hurkacz leads 5-0.
Who will win Alexander Shevchenko vs Hubert Hurkacz?
Our model makes it Hubert Hurkacz to win 2-0 at 1.57 (Lean confidence).