Alejandro Tabilo v Rafael Jodar
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanR. Jodar is 7-3 over the last ten and 38-14 on hard this season. A. Tabilo is 4-6 over the last ten and 16-16 on hard this season. R. Jodar took a medical timeout on 2026-10-18. The head to head is A. Tabilo 1-2.
The pick is R. Jodar to win. We make it a 73% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.37 or bigger. At 1.30 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Tabilo | R. Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Ranking | 13 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| LLWLL | Last 5 | LWWWW |
| -0.8 | V the odds | +0.7 |
| 38-28 | Season | 56-18 |
| 16-16 | Hard 2026 | 38-14 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 17d | Days rest | 9d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | MTO |
| Head to head 1-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati | R. JodarvA. Tabilo | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Washington | R. JodarvA. Tabilo | 6-7 6-4 6-4 |
| 2026-03-06 | ATP Indian Wells | A. TabilovR. Jodar | 6-1 6-2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Tabilo — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | P. Carreno-Busta | 1.54 | 63% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 6-7 4-6 TabiloCarreno-BustaPoints won49%51%Serve points won64%65%Return points won35%36%Games held14 of 1614 of 16Break points saved3 of 53 of 5Aces98Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-10-03 | Tokyo | Hard | D. Shapovalov | 2.26 | 57% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 6-3 4-6 TabiloShapovalovPoints won50%50%Serve points won62%62%Return points won38%38%Games held12 of 1612 of 15Break points saved1 of 51 of 4Aces311Double faults05 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | T. Paul | 3.41 | 72% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-2 TabiloPaulPoints won63%37%Serve points won70%43%Return points won57%30%Games held7 of 82 of 7Break points saved2 of 33 of 8Aces05Double faults16 | |||||||
| 2026-09-25 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Mannarino | 1.59 | 61% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 4-6 TabiloMannarinoPoints won48%52%Serve points won68%71%Return points won29%32%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved1 of 33 of 3Aces610Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | D. Merida Aguilar | 1.76 | 55% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-5 3-6 3-6 TabiloAguilarPoints won46%54%Serve points won60%68%Return points won32%40%Games held12 of 1514 of 15Break points saved5 of 85 of 6Aces39Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-09-06 | US Open | Hard | A. Zverev | 5.38 | 82% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 6-7 2-6 TabiloZverevPoints won43%57%Serve points won54%69%Return points won31%46%Games held8 of 1412 of 14Break points saved7 of 136 of 8Aces710Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | A. Popyrin | 1.71 | 57% | WON | |
Games in each set2-6 7-6 7-6 6-2 TabiloPopyrinPoints won53%47%Serve points won74%64%Return points won36%26%Games held18 of 2018 of 20Break points saved3 of 54 of 6Aces1725Double faults56 | |||||||
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | Y. Hanfmann | 1.76 | 55% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-2 6-7 6-3 TabiloHanfmannPoints won57%43%Serve points won74%62%Return points won38%26%Games held19 of 2013 of 18Break points saved4 of 55 of 10Aces913Double faults46 | |||||||
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati | Hard | R. Jodar | 2.90 | 67% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 1-6 TabiloJodarPoints won38%62%Serve points won47%76%Return points won24%53%Games held3 of 87 of 7Break points saved6 of 112 of 2Aces610Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | Hard | J-L. Struff | 1.56 | 62% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-4 TabiloStruffPoints won56%44%Serve points won75%61%Return points won39%25%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved0 of 01 of 3Aces55Double faults12 | |||||||
R. Jodar — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Davidovich Fokina | 1.74 | 56% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-1 6-7 4-6 JodarFokinaPoints won51%49%Serve points won63%61%Return points won39%37%Games held12 of 1510 of 14Break points saved4 of 78 of 12Aces126Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-10-17 | Shanghai | Hard | D. Medvedev | 2.65 | 63% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-4 JodarMedvedevPoints won54%46%Serve points won60%54%Return points won46%40%Games held8 of 105 of 9Break points saved4 of 63 of 7Aces63Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-10-16 | Shanghai | Hard | C. Ruud | 1.78 | 55% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-4 6-3 JodarRuudPoints won54%46%Serve points won67%56%Return points won44%33%Games held11 of 1410 of 15Break points saved4 of 710 of 15Aces610Double faults05 | |||||||
| 2026-10-14 | Shanghai | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 1.54 | 63% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-4 6-2 JodarZandschulpPoints won54%46%Serve points won68%59%Return points won41%32%Games held14 of 1511 of 15Break points saved1 of 25 of 9Aces46Double faults26 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | J. Lehecka | 2.46 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 7-6 6-4 JodarLeheckaPoints won51%49%Serve points won67%68%Return points won32%33%Games held15 of 1615 of 16Break points saved5 of 63 of 4Aces310Double faults02 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | T. A. Tirante | 1.42 | 68% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-2 6-3 JodarTirantePoints won52%48%Serve points won66%69%Return points won31%34%Games held13 of 1410 of 13Break points saved9 of 103 of 6Aces45Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | D. Vallejo | 1.23 | 79% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 3-6 JodarVallejoPoints won35%65%Serve points won38%68%Return points won32%62%Games held2 of 86 of 8Break points saved6 of 120 of 2Aces01Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-09-25 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | A. Bublik | 1.56 | 62% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-3 JodarBublikPoints won61%39%Serve points won71%47%Return points won53%29%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved2 of 35 of 9Aces11Double faults33 | |||||||
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | C. Garin | 1.25 | 77% | WON | |
Games in each set6-0 6-2 JodarGarinPoints won63%37%Serve points won70%43%Return points won57%30%Games held6 of 71 of 7Break points saved0 of 16 of 12Aces00Double faults05 | |||||||
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | Y. Bu | 1.07 | 90% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 1-6 1-6 JodarBuPoints won36%64%Serve points won46%75%Return points won25%54%Games held4 of 1111 of 11Break points saved9 of 160 of 0Aces22Double faults33 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Alejandro Tabilo or Rafael Jodar?
Rafael Jodar is favourite at 1.30, which is a 74% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar?
Alejandro Tabilo is 3.79 and Rafael Jodar is 1.30, the prices we recorded for the Basel match.
What is the head-to-head between Alejandro Tabilo and Rafael Jodar?
They have met 3 times and Rafael Jodar leads 2-1.
Who will win Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar?
Our model makes it Rafael Jodar to win at 1.30 (Lean confidence).