ATP Shanghai 2026 Preview: Draw, Title Odds, Injuries and
The ATP Shanghai main draw begins on 14 October, with Alexander Zverev, Daniil Medvedev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leading the field. 16 players and 14 singles matches on our card, hard court.
When is the ATP Shanghai?
The tournament starts on 14 October. Matches are listed to 17 October so far; the later rounds join the card as the draw is published.
Who are the title favourites for the ATP Shanghai?
Alexander Zverev is the favourite with a 45.9% chance of the title, ahead of Daniil Medvedev on 15.3%. Worked out round by round from the published draw and our player ratings.
| Player | Title chance | Our fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev 1 | 45.9% | 2.2 |
| Daniil Medvedev 5 | 15.3% | 6.5 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 25 | 13.3% | 7.5 |
| Rafael Jodar 12 | 10.3% | 9.8 |
| Tommy Paul 15 | 8.1% | 12.4 |
| Casper Ruud 20 | 7.2% | 13.9 |
What is the surface at the ATP Shanghai?
The tournament is played on hard court.
Fast court. How it has actually played, against the average for its level.
Servers held
+1.5% vs tour average 81.0%
Serve points won
+1.0% vs tour average 64.9%
Sets to a tiebreak
+1.8% vs tour average 19.8%
Aces
+0.10 vs tour average 0.48
Measured from 207 matches played at this event, against the average for its level over the same period. Not a surface label.
Who won the ATP Shanghai in 2025?
Valentin Vacherot won it in 2025, beating Arthur Rinderknech 2-1.
Which players come to the ATP Shanghai in form?
Win-loss over the last five weeks, across every event, from our own results record.
| Player | Last 5 weeks | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 11-0 | 100% |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 8-1 | 89% |
| Rafael Jodar | 6-1 | 86% |
| Alexander Zverev | 11-2 | 85% |
| Alex De Minaur | 9-2 | 82% |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 8-2 | 80% |
Which players are carrying an injury into the tournament?
Retirements, walkovers and medical timeouts from our own tracking. A short price on a player who has not finished a match lately is the easiest way to lose money at this level.
| Player | Recent | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur | L 0-2, W 2-0, W 2-0 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | RET, W 2-1, W 2-1 | retired once in the last 3 matches |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 1-2, W 2-1, W 2-0 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Arthur Gea | RET, W 2-0, W 2-0 | retired once in the last 3 matches |
| Zizou Bergs | L 0-2, W 2-0, W 2-0 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 2-1, W 2-0, W 2-0 | 2 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
What are the first round matchups at the ATP Shanghai?
Order of play from 04:00 UTC; individual times follow the session.
| Match | Prices | Market makes it |
|---|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur v Karen Khachanov | 1.80 / 2.13 | 54% A. De Minaur |
| Arthur Gea v Jakub Mensik | 2.48 / 1.60 | 61% J. Mensik |
| Alexander Zverev v Alexander Bublik | 1.37 / 3.38 | 71% A. Zverev |
| Hubert Hurkacz v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1.91 / 2.00 | 51% H. Hurkacz |
| Casper Ruud v Felix Auger-Aliassime | 2.27 / 1.71 | 57% F. Auger-Aliassime |
| Daniil Medvedev v Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.45 / 2.99 | 67% D. Medvedev |
| Tommy Paul v Zizou Bergs | 1.48 / 2.87 | 66% T. Paul |
| Botic Van De Zandschulp v Rafael Jodar | 2.67 / 1.54 | 63% R. Jodar |