Alexander Zverev v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanA. Zverev is 8-2 over the last ten and 36-10 on hard this season. A. Davidovich Fokina is 8-2 over the last ten and 24-10 on hard this season. A. Zverev has played 4 matches in seven days. A. Davidovich Fokina took a medical timeout on 2026-10-11. A. Davidovich Fokina has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is A. Zverev 4-1.
The pick is A. Zverev to win 2-0. We make it a 48% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.11 or bigger. At 1.90 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Zverev | A. Davidovich Fokina | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ranking | 26 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 8-2 |
| WWWWL | Last 5 | WWWWL |
| -0.1 | V the odds | +2.0 |
| 62-15 | Season | 31-16 |
| 36-10 | Hard 2026 | 24-10 |
| 4 | Last 7 days | 4 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 4 | Wins here | 4 |
| Clear | Fitness | MTO |
| Head to head 4-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 | Paris | A. Davidovich FokinavA. Zverev | 0 - 2 |
| 2025-04-27 | Madrid | A. ZverevvA. Davidovich Fokina | 2 - 1 |
| 2023-09-30 | ATP Beijing | A. ZverevvA. Davidovich Fokina | 2 - 1 |
| 2023-08-09 | ATP Toronto | A. ZverevvA. Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 |
| 2020-10-17 | Cologne | A. ZverevvA. Davidovich Fokina | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Zverev — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Shanghai | Hard | A. De Minaur | 2 - 0 | 1.53 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-10-14 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Bublik | 2 - 1 | 1.37 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | Q. Halys | 2 - 1 | 1.15 | 84% | WON |
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | Y. Wu | 2 - 0 | 1.11 | 87% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Beijing | Hard | N. Djokovic | 1 - 2 | 1.38 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-10-02 | Beijing | Hard | J. Shang | 2 - 0 | 1.07 | 90% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | C. Norrie | 2 - 0 | 1.12 | 86% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | L. Tien | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | A. De Minaur | 1 - 2 | 1.30 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-09-20 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | D. Prizmic | 2 - 0 | 1.09 | 87% | WON |
A. Davidovich Fokina — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Gea | 0 - 0 RET | 1.93 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-10-14 | Shanghai | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | 2.00 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 2 - 1 | 1.96 | 50% | WON |
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | J. Brooksby | 2 - 0 | 1.44 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | M. Berrettini | 1 - 2 | 1.67 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Chengdu | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 0 - 2 | 2.22 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Chengdu | Hard | N. Basilashvili | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Muller | 0 - 2 | 1.33 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Chengdu | Hard | J. M. Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | 1.67 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-07-16 | Umag | clay | A. Molcan | 2 - 1 | 1.73 | 56% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Alexander Zverev or Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Alexander Zverev is favourite at 1.31, which is a 75% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Alexander Zverev is 1.31 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 3.84, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
What is the head-to-head between Alexander Zverev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
They have met 5 times and Alexander Zverev leads 4-1.
Who will win Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Our model makes it Alexander Zverev to win 2-0 at 1.90 (Lean confidence).