ATP Lyon 2026 Preview: Draw, Title Odds, Injuries and Surface
The ATP Lyon main draw begins on 18 October, with Tommy Paul, Taylor Fritz and Lorenzo Musetti leading the field. 36 players and 25 singles matches on our card, clay court.
When is the ATP Lyon?
The tournament starts on 18 October, with the final on 19 October. Dates are taken from the published draw.
Who are the title favourites for the ATP Lyon?
Tommy Paul is the favourite with a 25.5% chance of the title, ahead of Taylor Fritz on 22.7%. Worked out round by round from the published draw and our player ratings.
| Player | Title chance | Our fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul 4 | 25.5% | 3.9 |
| Taylor Fritz 2 | 22.7% | 4.4 |
| Lorenzo Musetti 6 | 8.4% | 11.9 |
| Flavio Cobolli 1 | 7.7% | 13.0 |
| Valentin Vacherot 3 | 7.4% | 13.5 |
| Brandon Nakashima 5 | 4.9% | 20.4 |
| Arthur Fery 8 | 4.0% | 25.0 |
| Luca van Assche | 3.5% | 28.2 |
| Titouan Droguet | 3.4% | 29.3 |
| Matteo Berrettini | 2.6% | 38.6 |
What is the surface at the ATP Lyon?
The tournament is played on clay court.
Very slow court. How it has actually played, against the average for its level.
Servers held
−7.4% vs tour average 81.1%
Serve points won
−4.0% vs tour average 65.0%
Sets to a tiebreak
−4.2% vs tour average 19.9%
Aces
−0.15 vs tour average 0.48
Measured from 81 matches played at this event, against the average for its level over the same period. Not a surface label.
Which players come to the ATP Lyon in form?
Win-loss over the last five weeks, across every event, from our own results record.
| Player | Last 5 weeks | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Titouan Droguet | 7-1 | 88% |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 11-3 | 79% |
| Kyrian Jacquet | 8-3 | 73% |
| Borna Gojo | 7-3 | 70% |
| Felix Balshaw | 5-3 | 62% |
| Martin Landaluce | 5-3 | 62% |
Which players are carrying an injury into the tournament?
Retirements, walkovers and medical timeouts from our own tracking. A short price on a player who has not finished a match lately is the easiest way to lose money at this level.
| Player | Recent | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 0-2, L 0-2, W 2-0 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Corentin Moutet | RET, L 1-2, W 2-0 | first match back: retired on 1 Sep, 49 days out |
| Dusan Lajovic | L 0-2, RET, L 0-2 | retired once in the last 3 matches |
| Michael Mmoh | RET, W 2-1, L 0-2 | retired once in the last 3 matches |
| Vitaliy Sachko | L 0-2, W 2-0, L 1-2 | 2 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 0-2, W 2-1, L 0-2 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
Playing a first match in a while, with nothing physical on their record: Stan Wawrinka (32 days), Titouan Droguet (23 days). A gap between tournaments is normal at this time of year - treat it as rust, not as a doubt.
Which home players are in the ATP Lyon?
13 players from France are in the singles draw. Benjamin Bonzi, Corentin Moutet, Clement Tabur, Felix Balshaw, Kyrian Jacquet, Luca van Assche, Moise Kouame, Pierre-Hugues Herbert, Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg, Titouan Droguet, Ugo Blanchet, Ugo Humbert.
What are the first round matchups at the ATP Lyon?
Order of play from 10:00 UTC; individual times follow the session.
| Match | Prices | Market makes it |
|---|---|---|
| Ugo Blanchet v Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 2.54 / 1.55 | 62% N. Budkov Kjaer |
| Kyrian Jacquet v Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 1.71 / 2.21 | 56% K. Jacquet |
| Jan Kumstat v Michael Mmoh | 1.93 / 1.90 | 50% M. Mmoh |
| Francesco Maestrelli v Borna Gojo | 2.86 / 1.45 | 66% B. Gojo |
| M. Mrva v Dusan Lajovic | 2.15 / 1.75 | 55% D. Lajovic |
| Jurij Rodionov v Pierre-Hugues Herbert | 1.75 / 2.14 | 55% J. Rodionov |
| Valentin Royer v Clement Tabur | 1.66 / 2.30 | 58% V. Royer |
| Otto Virtanen v Vitaliy Sachko | 1.43 / 2.96 | 67% O. Virtanen |