ATP Challenger Olbia 2026 Preview: Draw, Title Odds, Injuries
The ATP Challenger Olbia main draw begins on 14 October, with Jacob Fearnley, Damir Dzumhur and Michael Mmoh leading the field. 16 players and 13 singles matches on our card, hard court.
When is the ATP Challenger Olbia?
The tournament starts on 14 October. Matches are listed to 17 October so far; the later rounds join the card as the draw is published.
Who are the title favourites for the ATP Challenger Olbia?
Jacob Fearnley is the favourite with a 40.8% chance of the title, ahead of Damir Dzumhur on 21.5%. Worked out round by round from the published draw and our player ratings.
| Player | Title chance | Our fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fearnley 1 | 40.8% | 2.4 |
| Damir Dzumhur 2 | 21.5% | 4.6 |
| Michael Mmoh 4 | 14.7% | 6.8 |
| Maks Kasnikowski | 12.4% | 8.1 |
| Stefano Travaglia | 4.8% | 20.7 |
| Luca Nardi | 4.1% | 24.6 |
| Maxim Mrva | 1.7% | 60.0 |
What is the surface at the ATP Challenger Olbia?
The tournament is played on hard court.
Fast court. How it has actually played, against the average for its level.
Servers held
+3.5% vs tour average 72.9%
Serve points won
+2.1% vs tour average 60.5%
Sets to a tiebreak
−0.2% vs tour average 14.1%
Aces
+0.07 vs tour average 0.31
Measured from 54 matches played at this event, against the average for its level over the same period. Not a surface label.
Who won the ATP Challenger Olbia in 2025?
Luca van Assche won it in 2025, beating Pablo Carreno-Busta 2-1.
Which players come to the ATP Challenger Olbia in form?
Win-loss over the last five weeks, across every event, from our own results record.
| Player | Last 5 weeks | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Mmoh | 6-2 | 75% |
| M. Mrva | 3-1 | 75% |
| Jacob Fearnley | 3-1 | 75% |
| Damir Dzumhur | 5-2 | 71% |
| Georgii Kravchenko | 7-4 | 64% |
| Tom Gentzsch | 5-3 | 62% |
Which players are carrying an injury into the tournament?
Retirements, walkovers and medical timeouts from our own tracking. A short price on a player who has not finished a match lately is the easiest way to lose money at this level.
| Player | Recent | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fearnley | W 2-0, W 2-0, RET | retired once in the last 3 matches |
| Tom Gentzsch | L 0-2, W 2-1, W 2-1 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| M. Mrva | W 2-0, W-ret, L 1-2 | retired in the last 90 days |
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | L 1-2, W 2-0, W 2-0 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Lorenzo Carboni | L 0-2, W-ret, L 0-2 | retired in the last 90 days |
What are the first round matchups at the ATP Challenger Olbia?
| Match | Time (UTC) | Prices | Market makes it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Guerrieri v Maks Kasnikowski | 11:00 | 1.61 / 2.44 | 60% A. Guerrieri |
| Michael Mmoh v Daniel Rincon | 11:00 | 1.85 / 2.00 | 52% M. Mmoh |
| Stefano Travaglia v Valentin Royer | 11:00 | 3.50 / 1.34 | 72% V. Royer |
| Tom Gentzsch v Georgii Kravchenko | 11:00 | 1.50 / 2.72 | 64% T. Gentzsch |
| Dimitar Kuzmanov v Damir Dzumhur | 11:00 | 2.42 / 1.61 | 60% D. Dzumhur |
| Luca Nardi v Lorenzo Carboni | 17:00 | 1.30 / 3.67 | 74% L. Nardi |