THE TENNIS TRADER
FRIDAY 16 OCTOBERMATCHES 149EVENTS 39LIVE 15ALERTS 45
ChallengerHardOlbia2026-10-15 11:00

Jacob Fearnley v Jan Kumstat

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
J. Kumstat to win2.95
Worth backing at 2.52 or bigger · our chance 40% · market 67/33, us 60/40

J. Kumstat is 9-1 over the last ten and 11-7 on hard this season. J. Fearnley is 6-4 over the last ten and 16-17 on hard this season. J. Fearnley retired from a match in the last month.

The pick is J. Kumstat to win. We make it a 40% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.52 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. FearnleyJ. Kumstat
101Ranking-
6-4Last 109-1
WLWLWLast 5WLWWW
+0.3V the odds+2.9
31-24Season38-14
16-17Hard 202611-7
1Last 7 days1
2dDays rest3d
1Wins here1
retiredFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. FearnleyFAV1.4467%
J. Kumstat2.9533%
Market says67% Fearnley

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

J. Fearnley1
J. Kumstat0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-15OlbiaJ. FearnleyvJ. Kumstat2 - 0

This season & this event

J. Fearnley
J. Kumstat
33-24
18-17
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
38-15
11-8
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Jacob Fearnley
United Kingdom
Jan Kumstat
Czech Republic
101
25
United Kingdom
29–23
1
15–16
2–3
11–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
675
19
Czech Republic
28–22
0
10–11
17–10
1–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Fearnley — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-16OlbiaHardM. Mrva2 - 01.3771%WON
2026-10-15OlbiaHardJ. Kumstat2 - 01.4467%WON
2026-10-13OlbiaHardG. Loffhagen2 - 01.7455%WON
2026-10-01PortoClayI. Montes-De La Torre1 - 0 RET——LOST
2026-09-29PortoClayA. Sanchez Quilez0 - 21.3174%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardT. M. Etcheverry3 - 12.2256%LOST
2026-08-31US OpenHardM. Landaluce2 - 32.0452%WON
2026-08-27US OpenHardJ. Rodionov1 - 21.7757%LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardL. Pavlovic2 - 11.2477%WON
2026-08-24US OpenHardR. Carballes Baena2 - 01.1582%WON

J. Kumstat — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-15OlbiaHardJ. Fearnley2 - 02.9567%LOST
2026-10-12OlbiaHardE. Butvilas2 - 02.4060%WON
2026-08-31ComoClayJ. P. Varillas2 - 01.3571%LOST
2026-08-22PragueClayC. H. Tseng1 - 21.4467%WON
2026-08-21PragueClayF. C. Jianu2 - 01.3373%WON
2026-08-20PragueClayM. Mrva0 - 21.8851%WON
2026-08-19PragueClayS. Nagal2 - 01.5164%WON
2026-08-18PragueClayP. Brunclik0 - 21.6757%WON
2026-08-16HamburgClayM. Moeller2 - 11.5362%WON
2026-08-15HamburgClayM. Pucinelli de Almeida1 - 21.5363%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Jacob Fearnley or Jan Kumstat?

Jacob Fearnley is favourite at 1.44, which is a 67% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Jacob Fearnley vs Jan Kumstat?

Jacob Fearnley is 1.44 and Jan Kumstat is 2.95, the prices we recorded for the Olbia match.

What is the head-to-head between Jacob Fearnley and Jan Kumstat?

They have met 1 time and Jacob Fearnley leads 1-0.

Who will win Jacob Fearnley vs Jan Kumstat?

Our model makes it Jan Kumstat to win at 2.95 (Solid confidence).

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