ATP Challenger Maia 2026 Preview: Draw, Title Odds, Injuries
The ATP Challenger Maia main draw begins on 14 October, with Matej Dodig, Zsombor Piros and Luka Mikrut leading the field. 16 players and 13 singles matches on our card, clay (indoor) court.
When is the ATP Challenger Maia?
The tournament starts on 14 October. Matches are listed to 17 October so far; the later rounds join the card as the draw is published.
Who are the title favourites for the ATP Challenger Maia?
Matej Dodig is the favourite with a 28.6% chance of the title, ahead of Zsombor Piros on 20.1%. Worked out round by round from the published draw and our player ratings.
| Player | Title chance | Our fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Matej Dodig | 28.6% | 3.5 |
| Zsombor Piros 3 | 20.1% | 5.0 |
| Luka Mikrut | 16.2% | 6.2 |
| Francesco Passaro | 12.2% | 8.2 |
| Marco Trungelliti 1 | 9.1% | 11.0 |
| Tristan Boyer | 6.8% | 14.7 |
| Alejo Sanchez Quilez Q | 4.7% | 21.2 |
| Lorenzo Giustino | 2.3% | 44.2 |
What is the surface at the ATP Challenger Maia?
The tournament is played on clay (indoor) court.
Medium court. How it has actually played, against the average for its level.
Servers held
+1.7% vs tour average 72.9%
Serve points won
+1.0% vs tour average 60.5%
Sets to a tiebreak
−2.6% vs tour average 14.1%
Aces
−0.01 vs tour average 0.31
Measured from 55 matches played at this event, against the average for its level over the same period. Not a surface label.
Which players come to the ATP Challenger Maia in form?
Win-loss over the last five weeks, across every event, from our own results record.
| Player | Last 5 weeks | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Passaro | 7-1 | 88% |
| Luka Mikrut | 12-3 | 80% |
| Matej Dodig | 8-2 | 80% |
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 7-2 | 78% |
| Zsombor Piros | 6-2 | 75% |
| Marco Trungelliti | 6-3 | 67% |
Which players are carrying an injury into the tournament?
Retirements, walkovers and medical timeouts from our own tracking. A short price on a player who has not finished a match lately is the easiest way to lose money at this level.
| Player | Recent | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Pol Martin Tiffon | L 0-2, W 2-0, L 0-2 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Lorenzo Giustino | L 1-2, W 2-0, W 2-1 | 2 retirements in 90 days |
| Tristan Boyer | W 2-1, W 2-0, L 1-2 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Vilius Gaubas | L 1-2, W 2-0, L 1-2 | 3 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
What are the first round matchups at the ATP Challenger Maia?
| Match | Time (UTC) | Prices | Market makes it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pol Martin Tiffon v Zsombor Piros | 12:00 | 3.43 / 1.35 | 72% Z. Piros |
| Alejo Sanchez Quilez v Andrej Nedic | 12:00 | 1.97 / 1.88 | 51% A. Nedic |
| Lorenzo Giustino v Michael Vrbensky | 13:30 | 1.38 / 3.24 | 70% L. Giustino |
| Luka Mikrut v Sumit Nagal | 13:30 | 1.29 / 3.88 | 75% L. Mikrut |