THE TENNIS TRADER
FRIDAY 16 OCTOBERMATCHES 148EVENTS 38LIVE 15ALERTS 44
ChallengerClay (Indoor)Maia2026-10-15 12:00

Matej Dodig v Lukas Neumayer

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidWON
M. Dodig to win1.46
Worth backing at 1.39 or bigger · our chance 72% · market 66/34, us 72/28

M. Dodig is 8-2 over the last ten and 32-11 on clay this season. L. Neumayer is 6-4 over the last ten and 32-14 on clay this season. M. Dodig has played 5 matches in seven days. L. Neumayer has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is M. Dodig 2-0.

The pick is M. Dodig to win. We make it a 72% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.39 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. DodigL. Neumayer
171Ranking180
8-2Last 106-4
WWWWWLast 5WLWWW
+2.5V the odds-0.3
37-20Season45-26
32-11Clay 202632-14
5Last 7 days4
3dDays rest3d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
2-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. DodigFAV1.4766%
L. Neumayer2.8234%
Market says66% Dodig

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Dodig3
L. Neumayer0
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-15MaiaM. DodigvL. Neumayer2 - 1
2026-10-10BragaM. DodigvL. Neumayer2 - 0
2025-07-11TriesteM. DodigvL. Neumayer2 - 0

This season & this event

M. Dodig
L. Neumayer
38-20
33-11
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
45-27
32-15
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Matej Dodig
Croatia
Lukas Neumayer
Austria
171
21
Croatia
31–19
1
5–6
25–11
1–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
180
24
Austria
39–23
2
9–7
29–15
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Dodig — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-15MaiaClay (Indoor)L. Neumayer2 - 11.4766%WON
2026-10-12MaiaClay (Indoor)P. Martinez0 - 21.5961%WON
2026-10-11BragaClayE. Moller1 - 21.4268%WON
2026-10-10BragaClayL. Neumayer2 - 01.6857%WON
2026-10-09BragaClayM. Moeller0 - 21.4666%WON
2026-10-08BragaClayM. Damas0 - 21.2676%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayA. Pellegrino2 - 11.6458%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsA. Zverev2 - 016.0894%LOST
2026-09-12GenovaClayT. Seyboth Wild2 - 12.1054%LOST
2026-09-11GenovaClayE. Dalla Valle2 - 11.5264%WON

L. Neumayer — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-15MaiaClay (Indoor)M. Dodig2 - 12.8266%LOST
2026-10-12MaiaClay (Indoor)E. Moller1 - 21.8153%WON
2026-10-10BragaClayM. Dodig2 - 02.2757%LOST
2026-10-09BragaClayM. Alcala Gurri2 - 12.1455%WON
2026-10-08BragaClayO. Wallin0 - 21.3969%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayF. Broska1 - 21.2775%WON
2026-09-25Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayL. Mikrut0 - 22.4761%LOST
2026-09-23Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayJ. C. Martin Manzano2 - 1——WON
2026-09-22Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayS. D'Agostino2 - 0——WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsZ. Bergs1 - 22.8267%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Matej Dodig or Lukas Neumayer?

Matej Dodig is favourite at 1.47, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Matej Dodig vs Lukas Neumayer?

Matej Dodig is 1.47 and Lukas Neumayer is 2.82, the prices we recorded for the Maia match.

What is the head-to-head between Matej Dodig and Lukas Neumayer?

They have met 3 times and Matej Dodig leads 3-0.

Who will win Matej Dodig vs Lukas Neumayer?

Our model makes it Matej Dodig to win at 1.46 (Solid confidence).

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