ATP Challenger Jinan 2026 Preview: Draw, Title Odds, Injuries
The ATP Challenger Jinan main draw begins on 14 October, with Mattia Bellucci, Liam Draxl and Shintaro Mochizuki leading the field. 21 players and 19 singles matches on our card, hard court.
When is the ATP Challenger Jinan?
The tournament starts on 14 October. Matches are listed to 17 October so far; the later rounds join the card as the draw is published.
Who are the title favourites for the ATP Challenger Jinan?
Mattia Bellucci is the favourite with a 33.9% chance of the title, ahead of Liam Draxl on 23.7%. Worked out round by round from the published draw and our player ratings.
| Player | Title chance | Our fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Mattia Bellucci 8 | 33.9% | 3.0 |
| Liam Draxl Q | 23.7% | 4.2 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | 22.3% | 4.5 |
| Martin Landaluce 5 | 20.1% | 5.0 |
What is the surface at the ATP Challenger Jinan?
The tournament is played on hard court.
Fast court. How it has actually played, against the average for its level.
Servers held
+3.7% vs tour average 72.9%
Serve points won
+2.9% vs tour average 60.5%
Sets to a tiebreak
−2.7% vs tour average 14.1%
Aces
+0.11 vs tour average 0.31
Measured from 54 matches played at this event, against the average for its level over the same period. Not a surface label.
Who won the ATP Challenger Jinan in 2025?
Arthur Cazaux won it in 2025, beating Mackenzie McDonald 2-0.
Which players come to the ATP Challenger Jinan in form?
Win-loss over the last five weeks, across every event, from our own results record.
| Player | Last 5 weeks | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Ilya Ivashka | 6-1 | 86% |
| Liam Draxl | 8-2 | 80% |
| Yosuke Watanuki | 4-1 | 80% |
| Mattia Bellucci | 10-3 | 77% |
| Jay Dylan Hara Friend | 7-3 | 70% |
| Martin Landaluce | 4-2 | 67% |
Which players are carrying an injury into the tournament?
Retirements, walkovers and medical timeouts from our own tracking. A short price on a player who has not finished a match lately is the easiest way to lose money at this level.
| Player | Recent | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| James Duckworth | L 0-2, L 0-2, W 0-0 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Aleksandar Vukic | L 0-2, W 2-0, L 0-2 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Marat Sharipov | RET, W 2-0, W 2-0 | retired once in the last 3 matches |
| Jie Cui | L 0-2, W 2-0, L 1-2 | 2 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Ilya Ivashka | L 1-2, W-ret, W 2-0 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
Which home players are in the ATP Challenger Jinan?
1 player from China are in the singles draw. Jie Cui.
What are the first round matchups at the ATP Challenger Jinan?
| Match | Time (UTC) | Prices | Market makes it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Smith v Vit Kopriva | 04:00 | 2.72 / 1.50 | 64% V. Kopriva |
| Martin Landaluce v Jie Cui | 04:00 | 1.31 / 3.73 | 74% M. Landaluce |
| Shintaro Mochizuki v Dane Sweeny | 04:00 | 1.75 / 2.17 | 55% S. Mochizuki |
| Liam Draxl v James Duckworth | 05:00 | 2.30 / 1.67 | 58% J. Duckworth |
| Ilya Ivashka v Marat Sharipov | 05:00 | 2.11 / 1.79 | 54% M. Sharipov |
| Hayato Matsuoka v Aleksandar Vukic | 05:00 | 2.23 / 1.70 | 57% A. Vukic |
| Andre Ilagan v Yosuke Watanuki | 06:30 | 2.22 / 1.71 | 56% Y. Watanuki |
| Luka Pavlovic v Tristan Schoolkate | 06:30 | 2.40 / 1.62 | 60% T. Schoolkate |