THE TENNIS TRADER
FRIDAY 16 OCTOBERMATCHES 148EVENTS 38LIVE 15ALERTS 44
ChallengerHardJinan2026-10-15 04:00

Tomas Machac v Aleksandar Vukic

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidWON
T. Machac to win1.44
Worth backing at 1.37 or bigger · our chance 73% · market 67/33, us 73/27

T. Machac is 3-7 over the last ten and 12-12 on hard this season. A. Vukic is 5-5 over the last ten and 22-20 on hard this season. A. Vukic took a medical timeout on 2026-10-05. A. Vukic retired from a match in the last month. The head to head is T. Machac 2-0.

The pick is T. Machac to win. We make it a 73% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.37 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

T. MachacA. Vukic
75Ranking112
3-7Last 105-5
WLWLLLast 5WLWLW
-1.8V the odds-1.0
17-16Season26-29
12-12Hard 202622-20
2Last 7 days1
3dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessMTOretired
Head to head
2-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

T. MachacFAV1.4567%
A. Vukic2.8933%
Market says67% Machac

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

T. Machac3
A. Vukic0
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-15JinanT. MachacvA. Vukic2 - 0
2024-10-08ATP ShanghaiT. MachacvA. Vukic2 - 0
2023-10-24ATP ViennaA. VukicvT. Machac0 - 2

This season & this event

T. Machac
A. Vukic
18-17
13-13
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
26-30
22-21
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Tomas Machac
Czech Republic
Aleksandar Vukic
Australia
75
26
Czech Republic
16–16
1
10–11
6–5
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
112
30
Australia
24–28
1
18–16
2–8
4–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

T. Machac — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-16JinanHardL. Draxl1 - 21.3870%LOST
2026-10-15JinanHardA. Vukic2 - 01.4567%WON
2026-10-12JinanHardA. Muller2 - 01.4567%WON
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardA. Bublik2 - 02.7364%LOST
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardZ. Zhang1 - 21.4368%WON
2026-10-01BeijingHardA. Molcan2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-29BeijingHardA. Gea0 - 22.1657%LOST
2026-09-28BeijingHardY. Hanfmann1 - 2——WON
2026-08-30US OpenHardT. Samuel3 - 02.3158%LOST
2026-08-26Winston-SalemHardM. Rottgering2 - 01.4567%LOST

A. Vukic — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-15JinanHardT. Machac2 - 02.8967%LOST
2026-10-14JinanHardH. Matsuoka0 - 21.7057%WON
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardP. Kotov2 - 02.3459%LOST
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardJ. Cui1 - 21.4467%WON
2026-09-29JingshanHardE. Zhu0 - 1 RET1.2875%LOST
2026-09-28JingshanHardR. Seggerman2 - 0——WON
2026-09-23HangzhouHardK. Jacquet1 - 21.9350%LOST
2026-08-31US OpenHardR. Sakamoto2 - 32.2857%LOST
2026-08-20Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardS. Sakellaridis2 - 01.6060%LOST
2026-08-19Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardK. Jacquet0 - 22.1856%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Tomas Machac or Aleksandar Vukic?

Tomas Machac is favourite at 1.45, which is a 67% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Tomas Machac vs Aleksandar Vukic?

Tomas Machac is 1.45 and Aleksandar Vukic is 2.89, the prices we recorded for the Jinan match.

What is the head-to-head between Tomas Machac and Aleksandar Vukic?

They have met 3 times and Tomas Machac leads 3-0.

Who will win Tomas Machac vs Aleksandar Vukic?

Our model makes it Tomas Machac to win at 1.44 (Solid confidence).

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