ATP Beijing 2026 Preview: Draw, Title Odds, Injuries and
The ATP Beijing main draw begins on 3 October, with Novak Djokovic and Alex De Minaur leading the field. 11 players and 10 singles matches in the draw so far, hard court.
When is the ATP Beijing?
The tournament starts on 3 October. Matches are listed to 6 October so far; the later rounds join the card as the draw is published.
Who are the title favourites for the ATP Beijing?
Novak Djokovic is the favourite with a 50.2% chance of the title, ahead of Alex De Minaur on 49.8%. Worked out round by round from the published draw and our player ratings.
| Player | Title chance | Our fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic 6 | 50.2% | 2.0 |
| Alex De Minaur 5 | 49.8% | 2.0 |
What is the surface at the ATP Beijing?
The tournament is played on hard court.
Very slow court. How it has actually played, against the average for its level.
Servers held
−8.0% vs tour average 80.9%
Serve points won
−4.3% vs tour average 64.9%
Sets to a tiebreak
−8.0% vs tour average 19.7%
Aces
−0.13 vs tour average 0.47
Measured from 134 matches played at this event, against the average for its level over the same period. Not a surface label.
Who won the ATP Beijing in 2025?
Jannik Sinner won it in 2025, beating Learner Tien 2-0.
Which players come to the ATP Beijing in form?
Win-loss over the last five weeks, across every event, from our own results record.
| Player | Last 5 weeks | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 9-1 | 90% |
| Alex De Minaur | 8-1 | 89% |
| Alexander Zverev | 12-2 | 86% |
| Karen Khachanov | 7-2 | 78% |
| Novak Djokovic | 3-1 | 75% |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 7-3 | 70% |
Which players are carrying an injury into the tournament?
Retirements, walkovers and medical timeouts from our own tracking. A short price on a player who has not finished a match lately is the easiest way to lose money at this level.
| Player | Recent | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | RET, W 2-0, W 2-1 | retired once in the last 3 matches |
| Roman Safiullin | W 2-0, L 1-2, W 2-0 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
What are the first round matchups at the ATP Beijing?
Order of play from 04:00 UTC; individual times follow the session.
| Match | Prices | Market makes it |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev v Roman Safiullin | 1.71 / 2.21 | 56% A. Rublev |
| Francisco Cerundolo v Jakub Mensik | 2.72 / 1.47 | 65% J. Mensik |
| Daniil Medvedev v Jan-Lennard Struff | 1.17 / 5.49 | 82% D. Medvedev |