Andrey Rublev v Roman Safiullin
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTR. Safiullin is 6-4 over the last ten and 8-8 on hard this season. A. Rublev is 6-4 over the last ten and 17-12 on hard this season. A. Rublev has played 4 matches in seven days. R. Safiullin took a medical timeout on 2026-09-26. R. Safiullin has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is A. Rublev 0-1.
The pick is R. Safiullin to win. We make it a 48% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.10 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Rublev | R. Safiullin | |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Ranking | - |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WLWWW | Last 5 | WLWWW |
| +0.6 | V the odds | +1.7 |
| 34-20 | Season | 36-15 |
| 17-12 | Hard 2026 | 8-8 |
| 4 | Last 7 days | 4 |
| 3d | Days rest | 3d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | MTO |
| Head to head 0-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Beijing | A. RublevvR. Safiullin | 2 - 1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Wimbledon | A. RublevvR. Safiullin | 2 - 3 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Rublev — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Beijing | Hard | A. De Minaur | 2 - 1 | 2.05 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-10-03 | Beijing | Hard | R. Safiullin | 2 - 1 | 1.71 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | T. Griekspoor | 1 - 2 | 1.58 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Hangzhou | Hard | D. Medvedev | 2 - 0 | 2.81 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Hangzhou | Hard | K. Jacquet | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Hangzhou | Hard | H. Gaston | 1 - 2 | 1.25 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | Hangzhou | Hard | R. Hijikata | 0 - 2 | 1.38 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | D. Merida Aguilar | 3 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | O. Virtanen | 2 - 3 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati | Hard | N. Borges | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
R. Safiullin — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Beijing | Hard | A. Rublev | 2 - 1 | 2.21 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | F. Cobolli | 2 - 0 | 2.06 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Hangzhou | Hard | D. Medvedev | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Hangzhou | Hard | Y. Bu | 2 - 0 | 1.87 | 50% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Hangzhou | Hard | Q. Halys | 1 - 2 | 1.78 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | Hangzhou | Hard | F. Sun | 0 - 2 | 1.22 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | C. Alcaraz | 0 - 3 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | H. Grenier | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-21 | Cancun 2 | Hard | S. Wawrinka | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-21 | Cancun 2 | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Andrey Rublev or Roman Safiullin?
Andrey Rublev is favourite at 1.71, which is a 56% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin?
Andrey Rublev is 1.71 and Roman Safiullin is 2.21, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.
What is the head-to-head between Andrey Rublev and Roman Safiullin?
They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.
Who will win Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin?
Our model makes it Roman Safiullin to win at 2.21 (Lean confidence).