THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 04 OCTOBERMATCHES 125EVENTS 38ALERTS 65
ATPHardBeijing2026-10-03 04:00

Francisco Cerundolo v Jakub Mensik

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
F. Cerundolo to win2.71
Worth backing at 2.57 or bigger · our chance 39% · market 36/64, us 39/61

F. Cerundolo is 6-4 over the last ten and 24-12 on hard this season. J. Mensik is 6-4 over the last ten and 26-13 on hard this season. The head to head is F. Cerundolo 2-0.

The pick is F. Cerundolo to win. We make it a 39% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.57 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

F. CerundoloJ. Mensik
23Ranking18
6-4Last 106-4
WLWWLLast 5WLWLL
-0.1V the odds-0.2
35-20Season35-19
24-12Hard 202626-13
1Last 7 days1
2dDays rest3d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
2-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

F. Cerundolo2.7235%
J. MensikFAV1.4765%
Market says65% Mensik

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

F. Cerundolo3
J. Mensik0
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-03BeijingF. CerundolovJ. Mensik2 - 0
2025-05-01MadridF. CerundolovJ. Mensik2 - 1
2024-09-27ATP BeijingF. CerundolovJ. Mensik2 - 0

This season & this event

F. Cerundolo
J. Mensik
36-21
25-13
Lost R32 to L. Tien
Lost R16 to K. Khachanov
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
35-20
26-14
Lost QF to A. De Minaur
Lost R32 to F. Cerundolo

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Francisco Cerundolo
Argentina
Jakub Mensik
Czech Republic
23
28
Argentina
31–17
2
11–8
15–8
5–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
18
21
Czech Republic
32–16
1
23–10
8–4
1–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

F. Cerundolo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04BeijingHardD. Medvedev2 - 02.7568%LOST
2026-10-03BeijingHardJ. Mensik2 - 02.7265%WON
2026-10-01BeijingHardB. Van De Zandschulp1 - 21.6757%WON
2026-09-25ATP Laver CupHard (Indoor)C. Ruud2 - 11.9752%LOST
2026-09-20ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryM. Alkaya2 - 0——WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryY. Erel2 - 0——WON
2026-09-07US OpenHardA. Blockx1 - 3——LOST
2026-09-05US OpenHardT. Fritz2 - 3——WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardJ-L. Struff2 - 3——WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardF. Misolic0 - 3——WON

J. Mensik — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-03BeijingHardF. Cerundolo2 - 01.4765%LOST
2026-09-30BeijingHardA. Bublik0 - 21.6260%WON
2026-09-25ATP Laver CupHard (Indoor)B. Nakashima1 - 21.6857%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsB. Shelton2 - 1——WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsL. Tien0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-06US OpenHardL. Tien2 - 3——LOST
2026-09-02US OpenHardJ. Rodionov3 - 1——WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardS. Mochizuki3 - 0——WON
2026-08-19CincinnatiHardT. A. Tirante2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-18CincinnatiHardR. Hijikata0 - 2——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Francisco Cerundolo or Jakub Mensik?

Jakub Mensik is favourite at 1.47, which is a 65% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik?

Francisco Cerundolo is 2.72 and Jakub Mensik is 1.47, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.

What is the head-to-head between Francisco Cerundolo and Jakub Mensik?

They have met 3 times and Francisco Cerundolo leads 3-0.

Who will win Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik?

Our model makes it Francisco Cerundolo to win at 2.71 (Lean confidence).

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