ATP Almaty 2026 Preview: Draw, Title Odds, Injuries and
The ATP Almaty main draw begins on 17 October, with Daniil Medvedev, Andrey Rublev and Stefanos Tsitsipas leading the field. 32 players and 20 singles matches on our card, hard (indoor) court.
When is the ATP Almaty?
The tournament starts on 17 October, with the final on 18 October. Dates are taken from the published draw.
Who are the title favourites for the ATP Almaty?
Daniil Medvedev is the favourite with a 32.3% chance of the title, ahead of Andrey Rublev on 20.0%. Worked out round by round from the published draw and our player ratings.
| Player | Title chance | Our fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev 1 | 32.3% | 3.1 |
| Andrey Rublev 4 | 20.0% | 5.0 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas 7 | 9.4% | 10.6 |
| Luciano Darderi 2 | 8.4% | 12.0 |
| Karen Khachanov 5 | 7.7% | 13.1 |
| Alexander Bublik 3 | 7.2% | 13.9 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante 8 | 2.8% | 36.0 |
| Mattia Bellucci | 2.7% | 37.6 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | 2.2% | 46.3 |
| Tomas Machac | 1.8% | 55.1 |
What is the surface at the ATP Almaty?
The tournament is played on hard (indoor) court.
Who won the ATP Almaty in 2025?
Daniil Medvedev won it in 2025, beating Corentin Moutet 2-1. Back to defend the title this year.
Which players come to the ATP Almaty in form?
Win-loss over the last five weeks, across every event, from our own results record.
| Player | Last 5 weeks | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Mattia Bellucci | 12-3 | 80% |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 8-2 | 80% |
| Rei Sakamoto | 7-2 | 78% |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | 9-3 | 75% |
| Ilia Simakin | 9-3 | 75% |
| Roman Safiullin | 9-3 | 75% |
Which players are carrying an injury into the tournament?
Retirements, walkovers and medical timeouts from our own tracking. A short price on a player who has not finished a match lately is the easiest way to lose money at this level.
| Player | Recent | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Harold Mayot | L 0-2, RET, W 2-1 | retired once in the last 3 matches |
| Terence Atmane | RET, RET, W 2-0 | retired in 2 of the last 3 matches |
| James Duckworth | L 0-2, L 0-2, W 0-0 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Aleksandar Vukic | L 0-2, W 2-0, L 0-2 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 2-0, W 2-0, RET | retired once in the last 3 matches |
| Zangar Nurlanuly | RET, W 2-1, L 1-2 | retired once in the last 3 matches |
Which home players are in the ATP Almaty?
5 players from Kazakhstan are in the singles draw. Amir Omarkhanov, Alexander Shevchenko, Beibit Zhukayev, Timofey Skatov, Zangar Nurlanuly.
What are the first round matchups at the ATP Almaty?
Order of play from 08:00 UTC; individual times follow the session.
| Match | Prices | Market makes it |
|---|---|---|
| Biryukov Petr Bar v Stefanos Sakellaridis | 2.90 / 1.44 | 67% S. Sakellaridis |
| Taro Daniel v Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2.31 / 1.65 | 58% N. Basilashvili |
| Gabriel Diallo v Harold Mayot | 2.01 / 1.85 | 52% H. Mayot |
| Amir Omarkhanov v Rei Sakamoto | 9.38 / 1.07 | 90% R. Sakamoto |
| Luka Pavlovic v Ilia Simakin | 2.76 / 1.48 | 65% I. Simakin |
| Roman Safiullin v Ilya Ivashka | 1.22 / 4.61 | 79% R. Safiullin |
| Alexander Shevchenko v Daniil Glinka | 1.72 / 2.18 | 56% A. Shevchenko |
| Adam Walton v Beibit Zhukayev | 1.22 / 4.60 | 79% A. Walton |