THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 13 OCTOBERMATCHES 224EVENTS 35LIVE 2ALERTS 135
ChallengerClay (Indoor)Maia2026-10-12 12:00

Tiago Pereira v Luka Mikrut

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
L. Mikrut to win1.25
Price too short today - wait for 1.28 or bigger · our chance 79% · market 23/77, us 21/79

L. Mikrut is 8-2 over the last ten and 16-5 on clay this season. T. Pereira is 5-5 over the last ten and 21-17 on clay this season.

The pick is L. Mikrut to win. We make it a 79% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.28 or bigger. At 1.25 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

T. PereiraL. Mikrut
339Ranking166
5-5Last 108-2
LWWLWLast 5LWWWW
+0.4V the odds+0.3
41-34Season19-11
21-17Clay 202616-5
3Last 7 days3
3dDays rest3d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

T. Pereira4.2423%
L. MikrutFAV1.2577%
Market says77% Mikrut

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

T. Pereira
L. Mikrut
41-35
21-18
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
20-11
17-5
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Tiago Pereira
Portugal
Luka Mikrut
Croatia
339
22
Portugal
39–33
2
21–17
18–15
0–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
166
22
Croatia
17–10
1
3–5
14–4
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

T. Pereira — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12MaiaClay (Indoor)L. Mikrut0 - 24.2477%LOST
2026-10-09BragaClayE. Moller2 - 12.8566%LOST
2026-10-08BragaClayN. Sanchez Izquierdo2 - 03.4772%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayP. Martin Tiffon2 - 02.4361%WON
2026-10-01PortoClayH. Grenier0 - 22.2257%LOST
2026-09-28PortoClayO. Virtanen1 - 23.6573%WON
2026-09-20Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayPa. Tsitsipas1 - 21.0591%LOST
2026-09-15SzczecinClayF. Pieczonka1 - 22.0453%LOST
2026-09-14SzczecinClayR. Molleker2 - 12.4661%WON
2026-09-13SzczecinClayI. Lopez Morillo2 - 11.3770%WON

L. Mikrut — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12MaiaClay (Indoor)T. Pereira0 - 21.2577%WON
2026-10-09BragaClayV. Gaubas2 - 01.4666%LOST
2026-10-08BragaClayO. Krutykh1 - 21.1980%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayS. Nagal0 - 21.2974%WON
2026-09-27Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayC. A. Caniato2 - 0——WON
2026-09-26Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayM. Moeller1 - 21.4169%WON
2026-09-25Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayL. Neumayer0 - 21.5961%WON
2026-09-23Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayK. Coppejans2 - 01.4666%WON
2026-09-22Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayF. Iannaccone0 - 2——WON
2026-09-19SzczecinClayN. Sanchez Izquierdo2 - 01.8154%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Tiago Pereira or Luka Mikrut?

Luka Mikrut is favourite at 1.25, which is a 77% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Tiago Pereira vs Luka Mikrut?

Tiago Pereira is 4.24 and Luka Mikrut is 1.25, the prices we recorded for the Maia match.

Who will win Tiago Pereira vs Luka Mikrut?

Our model makes it Luka Mikrut to win at 1.25 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event