THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 13 OCTOBERMATCHES 224EVENTS 35LIVE 2ALERTS 135
ChallengerClay (Indoor)Maia2026-10-12 12:00

Tristan Boyer v Alejandro Moro Canas

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
A. Moro Canas to win1.84
Worth backing at 1.81 or bigger · our chance 55% · market 47/53, us 45/55

A. Moro Canas is 7-3 over the last ten and 24-19 on clay this season. T. Boyer is 4-6 over the last ten and 10-5 on clay this season. A. Moro Canas has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is A. Moro Canas to win. We make it a 55% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.81 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

T. BoyerA. Moro Canas
202Ranking240
4-6Last 107-3
LLWWLLast 5LWWWL
-1.7V the odds+0.6
25-21Season39-29
10-5Clay 202624-19
1Last 7 days4
7dDays rest2d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

T. Boyer2.0447%
A. Moro CanasFAV1.8453%
Market says53% Canas

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

T. Boyer
A. Moro Canas
26-21
11-5
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
39-30
24-20
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Tristan Boyer
USA
Alejandro Moro Canas
Spain
209
25
USA
25–21
1
11–13
11–6
3–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
233
25
Spain
39–29
0
12–10
25–18
2–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

T. Boyer — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12MaiaClay (Indoor)A. Moro Canas2 - 02.0453%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayZ. Piros2 - 12.5063%LOST
2026-09-25San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardT. Legout1 - 21.8752%LOST
2026-09-23San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardS. Gorzny2 - 01.6558%WON
2026-09-22San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardS. Johnson2 - 01.9751%WON
2026-09-16TiburonHardA. Shelbayh0 - 21.6059%LOST
2026-09-14TiburonHardE. Winter2 - 01.5264%WON
2026-08-25US OpenHardA. Ilagan2 - 11.9350%LOST
2026-08-17Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardJ. Watt0 - 21.2276%LOST
2026-08-10Brownsburg (Usa) - QualificationHardA. Mayo0 - 21.7054%LOST

A. Moro Canas — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12MaiaClay (Indoor)T. Boyer2 - 01.8453%LOST
2026-10-10Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayJ. Forejtek2 - 11.8054%LOST
2026-10-09Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayM. Giunta1 - 21.4367%WON
2026-10-07Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayA. Martin0 - 21.2377%WON
2026-10-06Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayK. Ivanovski0 - 21.3472%WON
2026-10-04M25 ZaragozaClayA. Ritschard0 - 21.9351%LOST
2026-10-03M25 ZaragozaClayS. Jong2 - 11.4464%WON
2026-10-02M25 ZaragozaClayP. Vives Marcos2 - 01.3669%WON
2026-10-01M25 ZaragozaClayB. Pujol Navarro1 - 0 RET1.0294%WON
2026-09-30M25 ZaragozaClayD. Naharro2 - 01.0592%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Tristan Boyer or Alejandro Moro Canas?

Alejandro Moro Canas is favourite at 1.84, which is a 53% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Tristan Boyer vs Alejandro Moro Canas?

Tristan Boyer is 2.04 and Alejandro Moro Canas is 1.84, the prices we recorded for the Maia match.

Who will win Tristan Boyer vs Alejandro Moro Canas?

Our model makes it Alejandro Moro Canas to win at 1.84 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event