Sumit Nagal v Henrique Rocha
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTH. Rocha is 7-3 over the last ten and 27-12 on clay this season. S. Nagal is 3-7 over the last ten and 14-16 on clay this season.
The pick is H. Rocha to win 2-0. We make it a 50% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.01 or bigger. At 1.80 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| S. Nagal | H. Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| 275 | Ranking | 127 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| LLLLL | Last 5 | WWWWL |
| -1.6 | V the odds | +0.4 |
| 22-28 | Season | 34-23 |
| 14-16 | Clay 2026 | 27-12 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 7d | Days rest | 8d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Maia | S. NagalvH. Rocha | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
S. Nagal — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | H. Rocha | 2 - 1 | 3.68 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | L. Mikrut | 0 - 2 | 3.69 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | S. Kwon | 2 - 0 | 3.50 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | H. Chung | 2 - 1 | 1.49 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | A. Gea | 2 - 0 | 6.24 | 85% | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Prague | Clay | J. Kumstat | 2 - 0 | 2.63 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-08-17 | Prague | Clay | E. Ribeiro | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-11 | Hamburg | Clay | M. Houkes | 2 - 0 | 1.75 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-08-01 | Liberec | Clay | J. Kumstat | 2 - 0 | 2.06 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-07-31 | Liberec | Clay | M. Krumich | 0 - 2 | 2.06 | 53% | WON |
H. Rocha — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | S. Nagal | 2 - 1 | 1.31 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-10-04 | Porto | Clay | I. Montes-De La Torre | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | Porto | Clay | A. Holmgren | 0 - 2 | 1.42 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Porto | Clay | M. Poljicak | 0 - 2 | 1.27 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | C. Cretu | 0 - 2 | 1.21 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-09-11 | Seville | Clay | D. Lajovic | 0 - 2 | 1.92 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-09-10 | Seville | Clay | S. Rodriguez Taverna | 2 - 0 | 1.08 | 89% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Seville | Clay | C. Taberner | 2 - 0 | 1.50 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | L. Harris | 1 - 2 | 1.74 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | M. Mmoh | 2 - 0 | 1.59 | 60% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Sumit Nagal or Henrique Rocha?
Henrique Rocha is favourite at 1.31, which is a 74% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha?
Sumit Nagal is 3.68 and Henrique Rocha is 1.31, the prices we recorded for the Maia match.
What is the head-to-head between Sumit Nagal and Henrique Rocha?
They have met 1 time and Sumit Nagal leads 1-0.
Who will win Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha?
Our model makes it Henrique Rocha to win 2-0 at 1.80 (Lean confidence).