Stefanos Tsitsipas v Rinky Hijikata
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONS. Tsitsipas is 7-3 over the last ten and 19-14 on hard this season. R. Hijikata is 6-4 over the last ten and 25-18 on hard this season. The head to head is S. Tsitsipas 2-0.
The pick is S. Tsitsipas to win. We make it a 73% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.38 or bigger. At 1.28 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| S. Tsitsipas | R. Hijikata | |
|---|---|---|
| 44 | Ranking | 96 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WWWLW | Last 5 | WLWLL |
| +1.0 | V the odds | +1.8 |
| 34-21 | Season | 34-27 |
| 19-14 | Hard 2026 | 25-18 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Tokyo | S. TsitsipasvR. Hijikata | 2 - 0 |
| 2023-10-07 | ATP Shanghai | S. TsitsipasvR. Hijikata | 2 - 0 |
| 2023-01-18 | Australian Open | S. TsitsipasvR. Hijikata | 3 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
S. Tsitsipas — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Tokyo | Hard | R. Hijikata | 2 - 0 | 1.26 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Tokyo | Hard | Y. Nishioka | 2 - 0 | 1.04 | 91% | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | A. Molcan | 1 - 2 | 1.48 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | N. Gombos | 0 - 2 | 1.14 | 85% | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | US Open | Hard | B. Shelton | 3 - 0 | 3.56 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | L. Harris | 1 - 3 | 1.43 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | A. Fils | 3 - 1 | 5.52 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | Winston-Salem | Hard | A. Kovacevic | 2 - 0 | 1.38 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | J. Brooksby | 0 - 2 | 1.65 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | F. Auger-Aliassime | 0 - 2 | 2.17 | 55% | LOST |
R. Hijikata — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Tokyo | Hard | S. Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 | 3.60 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Tokyo | Hard | C. Ugo Carabelli | 2 - 0 | 1.37 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Rublev | 0 - 2 | 3.83 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-09-24 | Hangzhou | Hard | D. Svrcina | 2 - 0 | 2.29 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | F. Auger-Aliassime | 3 - 1 | 7.73 | 88% | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | B. Bonzi | 0 - 2 | 1.91 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R. Collignon | 1 - 2 | 2.08 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | Winston-Salem | Hard | Dar. Blanch | 2 - 0 | 1.43 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati | Hard | J. Mensik | 0 - 2 | 4.20 | 77% | LOST |
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | Hard | L. Darderi | 0 - 2 | 2.41 | 60% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Stefanos Tsitsipas or Rinky Hijikata?
Stefanos Tsitsipas is favourite at 1.26, which is a 74% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Rinky Hijikata?
Stefanos Tsitsipas is 1.26 and Rinky Hijikata is 3.60, the prices we recorded for the Tokyo match.
What is the head-to-head between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Rinky Hijikata?
They have met 3 times and Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 3-0.
Who will win Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Rinky Hijikata?
Our model makes it Stefanos Tsitsipas to win at 1.28 (Lean confidence).