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ATPHardTokyo · Qualifiers2026-09-29 05:30

Arthur Fils v Kamil Majchrzak

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
A. Fils to win 2-01.67
Price too short today - wait for 1.92 or bigger · our chance 52% · market 76/24, us 81/19

A. Fils is 8-2 over the last ten and 27-8 on hard this season. K. Majchrzak is 4-6 over the last ten and 11-15 on hard this season. The head to head is A. Fils 1-0.

The pick is A. Fils to win 2-0. We make it a 52% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.92 or bigger. At 1.67 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. FilsK. Majchrzak
-Ranking73
8-2Last 104-6
WLWWWLast 5WLWLW
+1.2V the odds-1.4
34-12Season22-21
27-8Hard 202611-15
1Last 7 days3
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. FilsFAV1.2177%
K. Majchrzak4.1023%
Market says77% Fils

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

A. Fils2
K. Majchrzak0
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-29TokyoA. FilsvK. Majchrzak2 - 1
2026-02-16DohaA. FilsvK. Majchrzak2 - 1

This season & this event

A. Fils
K. Majchrzak
36-12
29-8
Did not play
Champion
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
22-22
11-16
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Arthur Fils
France
Kamil Majchrzak
Poland
21
22
France
22–11
0
11–7
10–4
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
73
30
Poland
20–20
1
9–13
1–3
9–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Fils — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30TokyoHardL. van Assche2 - 01.1583%WON
2026-09-29TokyoHardK. Majchrzak2 - 11.2177%WON
2026-09-28TokyoHardM. Damm2 - 11.1879%WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardS. Tsitsipas3 - 11.1882%LOST
2026-08-23CincinnatiHardF. Tiafoe2 - 11.5065%WON
2026-08-22CincinnatiHardF. Cobolli0 - 21.4070%WON
2026-08-21CincinnatiHardT. A. Tirante0 - 21.3075%WON
2026-08-19CincinnatiHardA. De Minaur2 - 01.6161%WON
2026-08-18CincinnatiHardJ. Lehecka1 - 21.6559%WON
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardY. Hanfmann0 - 21.2776%WON

K. Majchrzak — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29TokyoHardA. Fils2 - 14.1077%LOST
2026-09-28TokyoHardL. Sonego0 - 21.6258%WON
2026-09-26HangzhouHardY. Bu2 - 11.8154%LOST
2026-09-23HangzhouHardM. Bellucci0 - 21.8154%WON
2026-09-20ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryA. De Minaur2 - 04.1977%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryJ. Duckworth1 - 21.6756%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardV. Vacherot3 - 12.2456%LOST
2026-08-30US OpenHardH. Medjedovic3 - 01.7854%WON
2026-08-24Winston-SalemHardB. Bonzi0 - 21.4866%LOST
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardC. O'Connell2 - 01.5463%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Arthur Fils or Kamil Majchrzak?

Arthur Fils is favourite at 1.21, which is a 77% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak?

Arthur Fils is 1.21 and Kamil Majchrzak is 4.10, the prices we recorded for the Tokyo match.

What is the head-to-head between Arthur Fils and Kamil Majchrzak?

They have met 2 times and Arthur Fils leads 2-0.

Who will win Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak?

Our model makes it Arthur Fils to win 2-0 at 1.67 (Lean confidence).

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