THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 30 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 351EVENTS 32LIVE 2ALERTS 173
ATPHardTokyo · Qualifiers2026-09-29 07:00

Daniel Vallejo Adolfo v Jaime Faria

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
J. Faria to win1.59
Worth backing at 1.51 or bigger · our chance 67% · market 39/61, us 33/67

J. Faria is 7-3 over the last ten and 17-9 on hard this season. D. Vallejo is 5-5 over the last ten and 11-8 on hard this season. The head to head is D. Vallejo 0-1.

The pick is J. Faria to win. We make it a 67% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.51 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

D. VallejoJ. Faria
58Ranking72
5-5Last 107-3
WLWLWLast 5WLWWL
+0.5V the odds+2.3
44-22Season50-24
11-8Hard 202617-9
3Last 7 days3
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

D. Vallejo2.3740%
J. FariaFAV1.5560%
Market says60% Faria

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

D. Vallejo1
J. Faria1
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-29TokyoD. VallejovJ. Faria2 - 1
2026-05-04RomeD. VallejovJ. Faria1 - 2

This season & this event

D. Vallejo
J. Faria
45-22
12-8
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
50-25
17-10
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Daniel Vallejo Adolfo
Paraguay
Jaime Faria
Portugal
58
22
Paraguay
42–21
2
5–5
34–13
0–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
72
23
Portugal
47–23
0
13–7
29–14
5–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

D. Vallejo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29TokyoHardJ. Faria2 - 12.3760%WON
2026-09-28TokyoHardT. Daniel2 - 02.0554%WON
2026-09-26HangzhouHardC. Wong2 - 12.5061%LOST
2026-09-23HangzhouHardJ. Cui1 - 21.3771%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryJ. P. Varillas2 - 11.3669%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryI. Buse1 - 23.1769%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardG. Monfils1 - 31.7456%LOST
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardB. Van De Zandschulp2 - 02.2657%LOST
2026-08-24Winston-SalemHardP. Carreno-Busta0 - 1 RET2.2056%WON
2026-08-18CincinnatiHardT. Paul2 - 14.6679%LOST

J. Faria — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29TokyoHardD. Vallejo2 - 11.5560%LOST
2026-09-28TokyoHardS. Mochizuki0 - 21.4566%WON
2026-09-26HangzhouHardH. Gaston1 - 21.5762%LOST
2026-09-23HangzhouHardT. Atmane2 - 12.1855%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryC. Cruz0 - 21.0293%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardC. Alcaraz1 - 39.1889%LOST
2026-08-30US OpenHardJ. Brooksby3 - 22.0653%WON
2026-08-20CincinnatiHardL. Musetti0 - 23.5572%LOST
2026-08-18CincinnatiHardA. Walton2 - 11.6858%WON
2026-08-17CincinnatiHardB. Shelton0 - 25.5683%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Daniel Vallejo Adolfo or Jaime Faria?

Jaime Faria is favourite at 1.55, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Daniel Vallejo Adolfo vs Jaime Faria?

Daniel Vallejo Adolfo is 2.37 and Jaime Faria is 1.55, the prices we recorded for the Tokyo match.

What is the head-to-head between Daniel Vallejo Adolfo and Jaime Faria?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

Who will win Daniel Vallejo Adolfo vs Jaime Faria?

Our model makes it Jaime Faria to win at 1.59 (Solid confidence).

Also at this event