Stefanos Sakellaridis v Yuta Shimizu
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTS. Sakellaridis is 5-5 over the last ten and 24-9 on hard this season. Y. Shimizu is 5-5 over the last ten and 22-19 on hard this season.
The pick is S. Sakellaridis to win 2-0. We make it a 45% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.22 or bigger. At 2.05 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| S. Sakellaridis | Y. Shimizu | |
|---|---|---|
| 136 | Ranking | 399 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LLWWL | Last 5 | LLWWW |
| +0.4 | V the odds | -0.7 |
| 40-22 | Season | 22-19 |
| 24-9 | Hard 2026 | 22-19 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 9d | Days rest | 14d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | S. SakellaridisvY. Shimizu | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
S. Sakellaridis — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | Y. Shimizu | 0 - 2 | 1.36 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-20 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | N. Gombos | 2 - 0 | 2.53 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | A. Molcan | 2 - 0 | 2.74 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-09-09 | Genova | Clay | D. Ajdukovic | 1 - 2 | 1.34 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | Genova | Clay | M. Poljicak | 0 - 2 | 1.47 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | Como | Clay | A. Nedic | 1 - 2 | 1.68 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | C. O'Connell | 0 - 2 | 2.46 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-08-23 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | L. van Assche | 0 - 2 | 2.88 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-08-22 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | T. Daniel | 2 - 0 | 2.03 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-08-21 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | Z. Bergs | 1 - 2 | 2.99 | 68% | WON |
Y. Shimizu — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | S. Sakellaridis | 0 - 2 | 3.00 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-15 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | P. Sekulic | 1 - 2 | 1.60 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-12 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | A. Weber | 2 - 0 | 1.62 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-11 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | H. Moriya | 1 - 2 | 1.32 | 73% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | K. Samrej | 0 - 2 | 1.46 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | A. Vishal Balsekar | 0 - 2 | 1.05 | 88% | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | A. Matusevich | 0 - 2 | 2.13 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-07-23 | Winnipeg | Hard | J. Monday | 2 - 1 | 2.07 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-07-21 | Winnipeg | Hard | L. Broady | 2 - 0 | 3.09 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-07-15 | Granby | Hard | J. Boulais | 0 - 2 | 1.70 | 56% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Stefanos Sakellaridis or Yuta Shimizu?
Stefanos Sakellaridis is favourite at 1.36, which is a 69% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Yuta Shimizu?
Stefanos Sakellaridis is 1.36 and Yuta Shimizu is 3.00, the prices we recorded for the Jingshan match.
What is the head-to-head between Stefanos Sakellaridis and Yuta Shimizu?
They have met 1 time and Yuta Shimizu leads 1-0.
Who will win Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Yuta Shimizu?
Our model makes it Stefanos Sakellaridis to win 2-0 at 2.05 (Lean confidence).