THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 30 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 351EVENTS 32LIVE 2ALERTS 173
ChallengerHardJingshan · Qualifiers2026-09-29 05:00

Adam Walton v Alexandr Binda

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
A. Binda to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 2.27 or bigger · our chance 44% · market 88/12, us 84/16

A. Binda is 8-2 over the last ten and 32-20 on hard this season. A. Walton is 5-5 over the last ten and 34-25 on hard this season. A. Binda has played 5 matches in seven days.

The pick is A. Binda to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 44% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.27 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. WaltonA. Binda
103Ranking548
5-5Last 108-2
WLLLWLast 5WLWWW
-1.1V the odds+3.0
39-29Season39-27
34-25Hard 202632-20
2Last 7 days5
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. WaltonFAV1.0592%
A. Binda11.348%
Market says92% Walton

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

A. Walton1
A. Binda0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-29JingshanA. WaltonvA. Binda2 - 0

This season & this event

A. Walton
A. Binda
41-29
36-25
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
39-28
32-21
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Adam Walton
Australia
Alexandr Binda
Italy
97
27
Australia
39–29
1
30–22
2–3
7–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
548
25
Italy
32–25
0
25–18
7–7
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Walton — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30JingshanHardM. Kouame2 - 01.4464%WON
2026-09-29JingshanHardA. Binda2 - 01.0592%WON
2026-09-28JingshanHardH. Shiraishi2 - 01.0885%WON
2026-09-23HangzhouHardV. Royer2 - 01.8353%LOST
2026-08-30US OpenHardY. Wu3 - 01.7556%LOST
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardI. Buse1 - 21.6061%LOST
2026-08-24Winston-SalemHardJ. De Jong2 - 01.5862%WON
2026-08-18CincinnatiHardJ. Faria2 - 12.3458%LOST
2026-08-17CincinnatiHardI. Buse2 - 01.5861%WON
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardN. Mejia2 - 01.5164%WON

A. Binda — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29JingshanHardA. Walton2 - 011.3492%LOST
2026-09-28JingshanHardS. Rawat0 - 21.4265%WON
2026-09-26M25 YinchuanHardK. S. Chen2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-25M25 YinchuanHardJ. Flores2 - 11.2774%WON
2026-09-24M25 YinchuanHardN. Barsukov2 - 01.5562%WON
2026-09-23M25 YinchuanHardY. Chung2 - 02.2558%WON
2026-09-18Guangzhou 2HardB. Tomic2 - 04.4480%LOST
2026-09-17Guangzhou 2HardF. Sun2 - 13.2272%WON
2026-09-15Guangzhou 2HardA. Wang2 - 01.3770%WON
2026-09-14Guangzhou 2HardK. Ogura2 - 11.3568%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Adam Walton or Alexandr Binda?

Adam Walton is favourite at 1.05, which is a 92% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Adam Walton vs Alexandr Binda?

Adam Walton is 1.05 and Alexandr Binda is 11.34, the prices we recorded for the Jingshan match.

What is the head-to-head between Adam Walton and Alexandr Binda?

They have met 1 time and Adam Walton leads 1-0.

Who will win Adam Walton vs Alexandr Binda?

Our model makes it Alexandr Binda to win a set (Lean confidence).

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