Adam Walton v Alexandr Binda
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTA. Binda is 8-2 over the last ten and 32-20 on hard this season. A. Walton is 5-5 over the last ten and 34-25 on hard this season. A. Binda has played 5 matches in seven days.
The pick is A. Binda to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 44% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.27 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Walton | A. Binda | |
|---|---|---|
| 103 | Ranking | 548 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 8-2 |
| WLLLW | Last 5 | WLWWW |
| -1.1 | V the odds | +3.0 |
| 39-29 | Season | 39-27 |
| 34-25 | Hard 2026 | 32-20 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 5 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | A. WaltonvA. Binda | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players


Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Walton — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Jingshan | Hard | M. Kouame | 2 - 0 | 1.44 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | A. Binda | 2 - 0 | 1.05 | 92% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Jingshan | Hard | H. Shiraishi | 2 - 0 | 1.08 | 85% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | V. Royer | 2 - 0 | 1.83 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | Y. Wu | 3 - 0 | 1.75 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | I. Buse | 1 - 2 | 1.60 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-08-24 | Winston-Salem | Hard | J. De Jong | 2 - 0 | 1.58 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati | Hard | J. Faria | 2 - 1 | 2.34 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati | Hard | I. Buse | 2 - 0 | 1.58 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | Hard | N. Mejia | 2 - 0 | 1.51 | 64% | WON |
A. Binda — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | A. Walton | 2 - 0 | 11.34 | 92% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Jingshan | Hard | S. Rawat | 0 - 2 | 1.42 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | M25 Yinchuan | Hard | K. S. Chen | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | M25 Yinchuan | Hard | J. Flores | 2 - 1 | 1.27 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | M25 Yinchuan | Hard | N. Barsukov | 2 - 0 | 1.55 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | M25 Yinchuan | Hard | Y. Chung | 2 - 0 | 2.25 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 | 4.44 | 80% | LOST |
| 2026-09-17 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | F. Sun | 2 - 1 | 3.22 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-09-15 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | A. Wang | 2 - 0 | 1.37 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | K. Ogura | 2 - 1 | 1.35 | 68% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Adam Walton or Alexandr Binda?
Adam Walton is favourite at 1.05, which is a 92% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Adam Walton vs Alexandr Binda?
Adam Walton is 1.05 and Alexandr Binda is 11.34, the prices we recorded for the Jingshan match.
What is the head-to-head between Adam Walton and Alexandr Binda?
They have met 1 time and Adam Walton leads 1-0.
Who will win Adam Walton vs Alexandr Binda?
Our model makes it Alexandr Binda to win a set (Lean confidence).