THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 28 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 149EVENTS 12LIVE 2ALERTS 24
ATPHardHangzhou2026-09-27 10:30

Roman Safiullin v Yunchaokete Bu

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
R. Safiullin to win1.87
Price too short today - wait for 2.04 or bigger · our chance 49% · market 51/49, us 49/51

R. Safiullin is 6-4 over the last ten and 6-7 on hard this season. Y. Bu is 6-4 over the last ten and 22-12 on hard this season.

The pick is R. Safiullin to win. We make it a 49% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.04 or bigger. At 1.87 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

R. SafiullinY. Bu
-Ranking152
6-4Last 106-4
WWLLWLast 5WWWLW
+1.0V the odds+0.7
34-14Season33-16
6-7Hard 202622-12
2Last 7 days2
1dDays rest1d
2Wins here2
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

R. SafiullinFAV1.8552%
Y. Bu1.9848%
Market says52% Safiullin

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

R. Safiullin1
Y. Bu0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-27HangzhouR. SafiullinvY. Bu2 - 0

This season & this event

R. Safiullin
Y. Bu
35-15
7-8
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
33-17
22-13
Lost R32 to Z. Zhang
Lost SF to Z. Zhang

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Roman Safiullin
World
Yunchaokete Bu
China
94
29
World
13–20
0
9–12
3–4
1–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
152
24
China
9–8
0
9–7
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

R. Safiullin — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-28HangzhouHardD. Medvedev2 - 02.7866%LOST
2026-09-27HangzhouHardY. Bu2 - 01.8552%WON
2026-09-26HangzhouHardQ. Halys1 - 21.7855%WON
2026-09-24HangzhouHardF. Sun0 - 21.2280%WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardC. Alcaraz0 - 34.6679%LOST
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardH. Grenier1 - 21.1882%LOST
2026-08-21Cancun 2HardS. Wawrinka2 - 01.4567%WON
2026-08-21Cancun 2HardH. Hurkacz0 - 22.5662%LOST
2026-08-18Cancun 2HardS. Ofner2 - 01.6658%WON
2026-07-05WimbledonGrassN. Djokovic1 - 35.6683%LOST

Y. Bu — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-27HangzhouHardR. Safiullin2 - 01.9852%LOST
2026-09-26HangzhouHardK. Majchrzak2 - 12.0954%WON
2026-09-23HangzhouHardM. Zheng2 - 02.1354%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardR. Jodar0 - 39.4290%WON
2026-08-27US OpenHardF. Cina1 - 21.5861%LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardB. Gojo2 - 01.7455%WON
2026-08-25US OpenHardR. Noguchi2 - 11.3372%WON
2026-08-18Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardN. Budkov Kjaer2 - 01.5662%LOST
2026-08-13CincinnatiHardQ. Halys2 - 02.2457%LOST
2026-08-12CincinnatiHardF. Maestrelli0 - 21.2776%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Roman Safiullin or Yunchaokete Bu?

Roman Safiullin is favourite at 1.85, which is a 52% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Roman Safiullin vs Yunchaokete Bu?

Roman Safiullin is 1.85 and Yunchaokete Bu is 1.98, the prices we recorded for the Hangzhou match.

What is the head-to-head between Roman Safiullin and Yunchaokete Bu?

They have met 1 time and Roman Safiullin leads 1-0.

Who will win Roman Safiullin vs Yunchaokete Bu?

Our model makes it Roman Safiullin to win at 1.87 (Lean confidence).

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