THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 28 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 149EVENTS 12LIVE 2ALERTS 24
ATPHardHangzhou · Quarter-finals2026-09-27 13:30

Daniil Medvedev v Coleman Wong Chak Lam

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidWON
C. Wong to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 1.68 or bigger · our chance 60% · market 76/24, us 70/30

C. Wong is 7-3 over the last ten and 35-21 on hard this season. D. Medvedev is 5-5 over the last ten and 25-9 on hard this season.

The pick is C. Wong to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 60% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.68 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

D. MedvedevC. Wong
13Ranking150
5-5Last 107-3
WLWWLLast 5WWLWW
-2.8V the odds+1.0
34-16Season39-29
25-9Hard 202635-21
1Last 7 days2
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here2
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

D. MedvedevFAV1.2378%
C. Wong4.2522%
Market says78% Medvedev

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

D. Medvedev1
C. Wong0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-27HangzhouD. MedvedevvC. Wong2 - 1

This season & this event

D. Medvedev
C. Wong
36-16
27-9
Lost QF to Y. Wu
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
39-30
35-22
Did not play
Lost R16 to B. Nakashima

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Daniil Medvedev
World
Coleman Wong Chak Lam
Hong Kong
13
30
World
5–0
1
5–0
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
150
22
Hong Kong
2–1
0
2–1
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

D. Medvedev — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-28HangzhouHardR. Safiullin2 - 01.4666%WON
2026-09-27HangzhouHardC. Wong2 - 11.2378%WON
2026-09-26HangzhouHardV. Royer2 - 01.2876%WON
2026-09-06US OpenHardF. Tiafoe0 - 31.6061%LOST
2026-09-02US OpenHardS. Gorzny3 - 01.0593%WON
2026-08-30US OpenHardH. Gaston3 - 01.1386%WON
2026-08-26Winston-SalemHardM. Damm0 - 21.2776%LOST
2026-08-18CincinnatiHardB. Nakashima2 - 11.7257%LOST
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardM. Trungelliti0 - 21.1584%WON
2026-08-06MontrealHardB. Van De Zandschulp0 - 21.3075%LOST

C. Wong — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-27HangzhouHardD. Medvedev2 - 14.2578%LOST
2026-09-26HangzhouHardD. Vallejo2 - 11.5861%WON
2026-09-23HangzhouHardZ. Zhang0 - 21.6160%WON
2026-08-30US OpenHardT. Paul1 - 35.6483%LOST
2026-08-27US OpenHardD. Lajovic2 - 01.4765%WON
2026-08-26US OpenHardL. Neumayer2 - 01.5363%WON
2026-08-24US OpenHardE. Moller2 - 11.1780%WON
2026-08-22Cancun 2HardS. Baez2 - 02.1056%LOST
2026-08-21Cancun 2HardA. Magadan1 - 21.1981%WON
2026-08-19Cancun 2HardA. Muller0 - 21.4268%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Daniil Medvedev or Coleman Wong Chak Lam?

Daniil Medvedev is favourite at 1.23, which is a 78% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Daniil Medvedev vs Coleman Wong Chak Lam?

Daniil Medvedev is 1.23 and Coleman Wong Chak Lam is 4.25, the prices we recorded for the Hangzhou match.

What is the head-to-head between Daniil Medvedev and Coleman Wong Chak Lam?

They have met 1 time and Daniil Medvedev leads 1-0.

Who will win Daniil Medvedev vs Coleman Wong Chak Lam?

Our model makes it Coleman Wong Chak Lam to win a set (Solid confidence).

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