THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 13 OCTOBERMATCHES 224EVENTS 35LIVE 2ALERTS 135
ChallengerClay (Indoor)Maia2026-10-12 12:00

Pol Martin Tiffon v Francisco Rocha

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
F. Rocha to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 1.83 or bigger · our chance 55% · market 80/20, us 75/25

F. Rocha is 3-7 over the last ten and 2-9 on clay this season. P. Martin Tiffon is 3-7 over the last ten and 19-16 on clay this season. P. Martin Tiffon took a medical timeout on 2026-10-07. P. Martin Tiffon retired from a match in the last month.

The pick is F. Rocha to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 55% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.83 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

P. Martin TiffonF. Rocha
215Ranking772
3-7Last 103-7
LLLWWLast 5LLLWL
-2.5V the odds-2.2
32-23Season16-27
19-16Clay 20262-9
1Last 7 days0
7dDays rest8d
0Wins here0
MTOretiredFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

P. Martin TiffonFAV1.2180%
F. Rocha4.8320%
Market says80% Tiffon

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

P. Martin Tiffon1
F. Rocha0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-12MaiaP. Martin TiffonvF. Rocha2 - 0

This season & this event

P. Martin Tiffon
F. Rocha
33-23
20-16
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
16-28
2-10
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Pol Martin Tiffon
Spain
Francisco Rocha
Portugal
215
27
Spain
32–22
1
12–5
19–16
1–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
772
27
Portugal
0–1
0
0–1
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

P. Martin Tiffon — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12MaiaClay (Indoor)F. Rocha2 - 01.2180%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayT. Pereira2 - 01.5861%LOST
2026-09-29Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayL. Lokoli1 - 21.5860%LOST
2026-09-25Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayM. Alcala Gurri0 - 0 RET2.3559%LOST
2026-09-23Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayT. Compagnucci0 - 21.4168%WON
2026-09-21Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayB. Hassan1 - 21.6060%WON
2026-09-07SevilleClayF. Diaz Acosta2 - 14.0976%LOST
2026-09-02Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayO. Ovcharenko1 - 21.3372%LOST
2026-09-01Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayJ. P. Ficovich2 - 01.4964%WON
2026-08-24US OpenHardT. Gentzsch0 - 22.8066%LOST

F. Rocha — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12MaiaClay (Indoor)P. Martin Tiffon2 - 04.8380%LOST
2026-10-04BragaClayO. Krutykh2 - 15.4983%LOST
2026-09-27PortoClayL. Maxted1 - 22.8968%LOST
2026-09-24M25 SetubalHardM. Agwi2 - 02.4662%LOST
2026-09-23M25 SetubalHardS. Monteiro2 - 0——WON
2026-09-16M25 Sintra 2HardB. Pietri2 - 01.6557%LOST
2026-09-11M25 SintraHardJ. Anthrop2 - 02.5965%LOST
2026-09-10M25 SintraHardJ. D. Silva0 - 2——WON
2026-09-08M25 SintraHardJ. Penzlin0 - 21.3869%WON
2026-09-01Porto 2ClayT. Pereira0 - 23.7174%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Pol Martin Tiffon or Francisco Rocha?

Pol Martin Tiffon is favourite at 1.21, which is a 80% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha?

Pol Martin Tiffon is 1.21 and Francisco Rocha is 4.83, the prices we recorded for the Maia match.

What is the head-to-head between Pol Martin Tiffon and Francisco Rocha?

They have met 1 time and Pol Martin Tiffon leads 1-0.

Who will win Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha?

Our model makes it Francisco Rocha to win a set (Solid confidence).

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